What to Expect From The Stars of the AFC | Chiefs vs. Ravens | OSB

NFL Wild Card: Kansas City Chiefs (13-6) at Baltimore Ravens (14-4)

By Sam Batz

When: Sunday, January 28th at 3:00 PM EST

Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Watch On: CBS

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens

It’s been a thrilling NFL postseason, but we are down to the final four. In the AFC, we have the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Baltimore Ravens in the Conference Championship. KC is looking to make a 2nd consecutive Super Bowl appearance, and their 4th in the last 5 years, while Baltimore is hoping to return to the big dance for the first time in 12 years. Baltimore remains the favorite, and for a detailed analysis of the game click here. In this article we’ll be discussing the best player props for the 2024 AFC Championship game. Player props are simple; they are bets focused on player performance, such as: touchdowns, yards, attempts, and much more.    

Below you’ll find our Chiefs vs. Ravens player prop predictions. There are superstars all over the field in this one, but we’re here to help you navigate the odds. We’ll provide helpful betting tips on player props we think offer the best payouts in this Conference Championship between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens.      

Chiefs vs. Ravens Game Odds 

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Odds are constantly changing but OSB is here to keep you updated. Click here for the latest odds on the Chiefs vs. Ravens game, along with every postseason matchup.  

Chiefs vs. Ravens Betting Trends

Kansas City Chiefs

• 11-7-1 ATS this season 
• 5-3-1 ATS on the road
• 6-13 O/U record this season
• 5-4 O/U record on the road
• 1-0 as UNDERDOGS this season
• 1-0 as UNDERDOGS on the road

Baltimore Ravens

• 12-6 ATS this season
• 6-4 ATS at home
• 8-9-1 O/U record this season
• 5-4-1 O/U record at home
• 11-3 as FAVORITES
• 6-2 as FAVORITES at home   

Chiefs vs. Ravens: Best Player Props

Lamar Jackson, Ravens QB; Prop Bet: O/U 29.5 passing attempts

Prediction: Under (-123)

Lamar Jackson is the engine of the Baltimore Ravens offense. He is the favorite to win MVP, and while Lamar is certainly a driving force behind Baltimore’s success, the Ravens will likely shy away from using his arm. During the regular season, Baltimore led the NFL with 156.5 rushing yards per game, and I expect them to lean on their running backs against the Chiefs. Kansas City has the 2nd-best defense in terms of yards allowed, keeping opponents in check because of their excellent secondary. However, the Chiefs have struggled against the run, allowing 129.0 rushing yards per game in the playoffs. The Ravens offense thrives on the ground, and we’ll see more carries than pass attempts from Baltimore on Sunday. 

Justice Hill, Ravens RB; Prop Bet: O/U 33.5 rushing yards

Prediction: Over (-127)

Justice Hill has taken over as Baltimore’s lead running back. Against a stout Houston run defense, Hill recorded 66 yards on 13 carries. Hill splits time with fellow running backs Gus Edwards and Dalvin Cook, but in Baltimore’s last 3 games Hill averaged 38.0 yards on 7.1 yards per carry. The Chiefs defense has struggles against running backs, and Baltimore’s offense is the best rushing unit in the NFL. Justice will have plenty of opportunities to break away against KC’s generous run stoppers,  as Baltimore will likely lean on their rushing attack to move the ball down field, with Hill leading the way. 

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs QB; Prop: O/U 241.5 passing yards

Prediction: Under (-111)

Patrick Mahomes is only 28-years old, yet the 7th-year quarterback has already found more success than most players do in their entire career. Mahomes is a 2x MVP, 2x Super Bowl MVP, 2x Super Bowl Winner, and is 13-3 in the playoffs. His resume speaks for itself, but in the AFC Championship on Sunday, Mahomes faces arguably the toughest test of his career. The Ravens defense is no joke, holding opponents to just 16.5 points, averaging 191.9 passing yards allowed, and led the NFL with 3.5 sacks per game. Mahomes is averaging 238.5 passing yards in the postseason, but he’ll be on the road against a defense that allowed a measly 213.0 total yards last week. Patrick Mahomes will be expected to carry the Chiefs offense, but Baltimore’s defense will overwhelm the reigning MVP. 

Chiefs vs. Ravens Game Predictions

We focused on player props, but here is a quick overview of our game predictions. For a detailed analysis of the AFC Championship between the Chiefs and Ravens, as well as the NFC Championship, please see OSB’s blog page.         

Moneyline Pick: Baltimore Ravens (-205)

ATS Pick: Baltimore Ravens (-3.5)

O/U Pick: Over (44.5)

Score: Chiefs 24; Ravens 30

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