Super Bowl LVIII Prop Bet Predictions | 49ers vs. Chiefs | OSB

Super Bowl LVIII: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

By Sam Batz

When: Sunday, February 11th at 6:30 PM EST

Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV 

Watch On: CBS

Matchup: San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Ready or not, Super Bowl LVIII is on its way! The 49ers and Chiefs are back on the biggest stage in football, as they prepare to compete in a Super Bowl rematch. Back in 2020, the Chiefs beat the Niners 31-20, but this year San Francisco is the favorite (Spread -2.0), as the 49ers look to stomp out KC’s dream of winning back-to-back Super Bowls. The Super Bowl is the NFL’s most watched game of the year, as millions of fans from around the world are expected to tune in, but the Super Bowl also offers a tremendous amount of sports betting options, with a wide range of opportunities to cash-in on the big game. That’s where we come in; you can see all of OSB’s Super Bowl predictions here, but in this article we will focus on the best Super Bowl prop bets.  

Below you’ll find our Super Bowl predictions, including: stats, scores, and betting advice on the Super Bowls prop bets. Prop Bets are simple: they are bets regarding the occurrence or non-occurrence of an event during the game. Prop bets do not directly concern or affect the game’s final outcome. Here we will help you navigate the Super Bowls prop bet odds, as well as provide helpful betting tips so that you walk away with a great payout.            

49ers vs. Chiefs: Super Bowl Odds

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Odds are constantly changing but OSB is here to keep you updated. Click here for the latest odds on Super Bowl LVIII between the 49ers and Chiefs.  

49ers vs. Chiefs: Super Bowl Odds Breakdown

If you take the Chiefs Moneyline (+110): You can bet $100 to profit $110, for a total payout of $210, if the Chiefs win.  

If you take the Chiefs to Cover the +2.0 Point Spread (-110): You can risk $110 to profit $100, for a total payout of $210, if the Chiefs win the game, or lose by less than 2 points.  

If you take the 49ers Moneyline (-130): You can risk $130 to win $100, for a total payout of $230, if the 49ers win. 

If you take the 49ers to Cover the -2.0 Point Spread (-110): You can risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the 49ers win the game by at least 2 points. 

If you take the Over on the 47.5 point total (-110): You can risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the 49ers and Chiefs combine for more than 47.5 total points.  

If you take the Under on the 47.5 point total (-110): You can risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the 49ers and Chiefs combine for less than 47.5 total points. 

49ers vs. Chiefs: Super Bowl Betting Trends

San Francisco 49ers

• 9-10 ATS this season 
• 0-2 ATS in the 2023 playoffs
• 10-8-1 O/U record this season
• 1-1 O/U record in the 2023 playoffs
• 12-5 as FAVORITES this season
• 2-0 as FAVORITES in the 2023 playoffs

Kansas City Chiefs

• 12-7-1 ATS this season
• 3-0 ATS in the 2023 playoffs
• 6-14 O/U record this season
• 1-2 O/U record in the 2023 playoffs
• 1-0 as UNDERDOGS this season
• 2-0 as UNDERDOGS in the 2023 playoffs 

49ers vs. Chiefs: Best Super Bowl Prop Bets

The Coin Toss: Heads (-105) or Tails (-105)

A Super Bowl classic, betting on the coin toss. As you might imagine, it’s exactly what it sounds like; a good old-fashioned 50/50 wager on whether the opening coin toss will land heads or tails. It’s a classic because it is the simplest Super Bowl prop bet there is, and requires no previous knowledge of the game of football. Simply test your luck, and pick heads or tails. Personally, I believe tails never fails. 

Prediction: Tails (-105)

First Team to Score: 49ers (-115) or Chiefs (-115)

Super Bowl props are great because of their simplicity. Other than the coin toss, which is essentially just blind luck, picking which team will score first is a straight-forward, no gimmick wager. Both teams are treated as equally likely to score first, but I’d take the Niners. San Francisco recorded a 1st quarter score in 76.5% of their regular season games, while the Chiefs posted a 1st quarter score just 47.1% of the time. 

Prediction: San Francisco 49ers (-115)

Last Teams to Score in 1st Half: 49ers (-115) or Chiefs (-115)

I have the Niners scoring first in the game, but knowing Kansas City, the Chiefs will bounce back with a score of their own right before Usher takes the stage. Patrick Mahomes and the KC offense always seem to score when they need it most, and before heading into the locker room. Teams with a halftime lead are 41-12 in the Super Bowl (4 were tied), giving the halftime leaders a 77.4% Super Bowl win-rate. I’m certain KC coach Andy Reid is aware of this, and the Chiefs will do everything in their power to end the 1st half with a scoring drive. 

Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs (-115)  

Player to Commit First Turnover: Brock Purdy (+180)

Nerves, stress, noise, and expectations. All of these will be weighing on quarterback Brock Purdy’s mind and body. Mr. Irrelevant won’t be able to fight the anxiety that comes with a quarterback’s first Super Bowl appearance. Even the best committed turnovers in their first Super Bowl, including Patrick Mahomes who threw 2 interceptions against the 49ers in 2020. Moreover, Purdy is facing a stout KC secondary who won’t pull any punches. Mr. Irrelevant will undoubtedly bounce back, but the 49ers QB will commit the first turnover of Super Bowl LVIII. 

Prediction: Brock Purdy (+180)

49ers vs. Chiefs: Super Bowl Predictions

We focused on the best parlays for the Super Bowl, but below is a quick overview of our overall Super Bowl predictions. For a detailed analysis of Super Bowl LVIII, please visit OSB’s NFL blog page for an in depth look at the best Super Bowl bets.  

Moneyline Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (+110)

ATS Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (+2.0)

O/U Pick: Under (47.5)

Score: 49ers 20; Chiefs 24

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