Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs: Player Prop

Tommy D   here with OSB sports!

This is the Thursday, October 12th NFL report for the Broncos vs. Chiefs Prop prediction. The game starts at 8:15 PM EST in Kansas City’s Arrowhead Stadium. Draftkings Moneyline has the underdog Broncos priced at +400, while the Chiefs are favored at -535. The O/U total is 47.5, and the Spread is 10.5 points, with both teams priced at -110 to cover.

Before we get to our Broncos vs. Chiefs Prop pick, please go ahead and subscribe to our channel, OSB Sports, hit the bell button, and you will be notified every time we come up with a new pick update. 

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Isiah Pacheco Takes Over as Chiefs Lead Back

The best player prop to take in the Broncos vs. Chiefs Thursday night matchup is Isiah Pacheco’s O/U 73.5 rushing yards on Draftkings. The over is priced at -125, while the under is priced at -105. Hammer the over on this prop bet. Pacheco has taken over as the Chiefs lead running back, averaging 17.0 carries, 77.3 rushing yards, and 1.0 touchdowns in his last 3 games. The second year running back saw a 60% snap share in weeks 4 and 5, seemingly solidifying his position as the Chiefs top rushing option. 

Isiah Pacheco is in for a breakout performance week 6 against the Broncos. Denver posts the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing 187.6 rushing yards per game. Moreover, the Broncos have given up 8 rushing touchdowns in just 5 games, and are coming off a 31-21 loss against the NY Jets, where Denver gave up 234 rushing yards (177 yards to RB Breece Hall alone). It’s a perfect matchup for Pacheco, who’s 4.37 speed will give him the edge over Denver’s porous run defense.   

So for our Broncos vs. Chiefs expert prop pick, take the Over (-125) on Isiah Pacheco 73.5 rushing yards prop for Thursday Night. This means you risk $125 to win $100, for a total payout of $225, if Pacheco goes over 73.5 rushing yards.