Saturday College/NBA Preview

 

All right, Tommy d back. Here it is Friday, February 4, and welcome back to our podcast bet the edge. We got some really interesting things we’re going to be talking about here. If you’re a first time viewer Welcome on board. If you want to follow us and know when we’re coming back with other podcasts and daily videos, just hit that subscribe button right now. You could also check us out on online sports bet.com Is the sponsor of this show. 

And if you like what you hear, give us a big thumbs up. We appreciate it. All right, let me get right to my two partners in crime here co hosts we got Scott Matthews from at SM sports picks. And we got Dre Fernandez who writes for online sports bet.com. Gentlemen, what’s happening.

 

Everything is good, Tommy It’s tough. It’s a big weekend of action football to get excited about obviously the Pro Bowl in Las Vegas, which will be an exciting time. They got a big weekend action in Las Vegas, you got the NHL All Star events going on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. You got the you got the Pro Bowl, excuse me Friday and Saturday with the NHL, you got the Pro Bowl on Sunday. A lot of big action going to be going on some games this weekend.

 I think we could take advantage of a lot of general public people just being in Vegas moving numbers on games they shouldn’t be and that could work very favorable. I like big weekends in Vegas because a lot of just kind of average guys, but there’s so many people out there it kind of they bet on things that they shouldn’t be betting on and it gives experts like ourselves, sometimes some big line edges on these games. So I’m looking forward to that.

 

Absolutely dry you get ready for a big weekend. You got some magical props ready for us.

 

I’m ready I got a pop and I like

 

we’re gonna we’re gonna get to that in a second. All right, this show is powered by online sports bet.com So you definitely want to check out the website. What we do on this show quickly I’m going to go over the format we’re going to talk about a couple of college hoop games for Saturday, we’re going to touch upon the pro ball alright not that we take that game seriously but for football people there is some action we give out a best bet each person on the show is going to give out a best bet and we’re going to also give out some profits so hang around it’s going to be real interesting.

 I a lot of stuff going on any NFL I mean we’re not going to get into a lot of mud being thrown around right now. I don’t know who side to even look at we’re not going to talk much about that but a lot of controversy going on right now with coaches owners crazy stuff in my opinion but I guess you’re always gonna have this type of stuff going on when you have such a you know controversial league I guess

 

this whole thing’s getting nuts because it’s gonna be like you know this one that I in it that you know the claims this team’s denying it you know it’s just gonna be he said she said like crazy but yeah, it’s crazy the world we’re living in unfortunately is not not not a normal world anymore. That stuff gets out like crazy via text and emails and in all these crazy things and it opens up so many cans of worms this in particular Steven Ross, the owner of the dolphins must be going through I don’t know how many bottles of Tylenol and Advil is over the last few days to figure out he’s got a whole thing mountain against him right now that you know that they could actually take the Miami thought to make and force him to sell the ownership of the team. Somebody else somebody praying over there I say

 

let me tell you what, though. I mean, we’re not going to get into this right now but coach in Miami he’s done I don’t know what he’s thinking he No one’s ever gonna hire him again. So either he’s thinking he’s gonna win this big loss suit or he’s looking to take people down he he’s out for blood that guy is some pretty serious accusations being said being paid 100 grand will lose the game and NFL owner I mean, I don’t even want to go there at this point but with these texts from Bella check crazy stuff.

 You know the NFL has become a pretty controversial entity these days with what happened with the Raiders coach early in the year and now with the owner of the skins talking about wanting to photograph cheerleaders in the buff man I mean, listen, it’s it’s like a becoming a reality show. Yeah,

 

you know, you got powerful men below is not millionaires, billionaires running these teams are easy to go after go after that kind of money,

 

but you got to be a responsible individual, if your name is on an NFL franchise like I said, we’re not here, we’re not the jury here. But if some of this stuff is true, it’s pretty serious stuff. In my opinion,

 

we, this is not something that just started, this has probably been going on for the, you know, forever and ever, we’re just finding things like this out, you know, obviously, through the grapevine, because of social media and all these, you know, things out there, obviously, to bring it out enlightenment, much faster, but I’m sure this stuff has been going on since, you know, for years and years, decades and decades. But yeah, obviously, it’s more focused and spotlights on it now with all these social media platforms.

 

Absolutely. The

 

blogs and, you know, all walks of life. And since man, since, you know, man and woman have been out there, so there’s always dirty dogs out there, you know, doing things,

 

there’s always gonna be with big money is involved and

 

see what comes out of the Miami Dolphins situation, because those are some serious fix, you know, to throw games and things like that, how they go, you know, come across it and prove all

 

I can say this guy Flores betta have some real good stuff to back up what he’s saying, if not, he’s done anyway. But I mean, he’ll go down as a laughingstock if this stuff was yours just created to get back at whoever. I mean, that’s some serious stuff. He’s saying here, he better have something, some,

 

he’s got a lot of support out there, I’ll tell you that he’s got a lot of support a lot of players that he’s coached in the past, you know, they say he’s a very stand-up guy. I don’t know him personally, you know, obviously, but I a lot of people are going to bat for him that you know, courageous stuff that he’s coming out like this, obviously, if it’s real, if it’s not real, then they’re going to, you know, obviously, stab them in the back hard.

 But if this stuff is based on what people saying about, you know, the way the guy, the guy’s Mo is the same. He’s a pretty solid stand-up type of guy. So, you know, I’m curious to see what really does come out of it at the end, you know, at the end of the day, I’m sure there’s gonna be some changes. And I’m sure something’s going to come out of it. But you know, to know exactly. At this point, you know, a lot, a lot of stuff going on.

 

NFL has not really said much. Roger Goodell is laying low right now. I guess he’s meeting with his people to see how he actually even address things like because you’re talking about an institution and FL and if owners are throwing games, now we’ll get into all the

 

other the other Coach Hugh Jackson came out and said he kind of got offered to, you know, to have performances when he was coaching for Cleveland, that, you know, also he came out recently. And I believe the coach for Cincinnati was Tubby Smith was it, lovey, lovey, lovey, lovey, excuse me, came out and made some accusations about things.

 So, you know, there’s a lot of stuff going on people all of a sudden that coming out that kind of piling on, but, you know, I guess it takes the first guy and then all of a sudden, you know, everyone jumps in the bandwagon. When stuff’s going on like this. It’s like the first accusation. Yeah.

 

100 Hugh Jackson was like, Oh, he Well, he said it I’m not saying

 

well, yeah, that it’s gonna be interesting to say because you’re going up against an institution and an American institution and you got DNS involved. So we’re gonna, I’m sure we’ll be talking about that as as time goes on. Well, Super Bowls next Sunday. It’s gonna It’s gearing up to be a big game. I mean, I saw some crazy stuff. I’m always looking out there. You know, I’m a Twitter guy. So I found you know, Matt mattress Mac, the guy from Euston the furniture guy. He drove from Texas to the border of Louisiana. Mobile he bet four and a half-man through Caesar’s sportsbook and he has big balls he took the Bengals plus 170 on the money line.

 This guy’s notorious for big that’s been right. He’s been wrong. And in the World Series, he bet millions on the Houston Astros. He’s known to take big shots but he bet the Bengals on the money line drove cross-state line pulled over some parking lot and bet four and a half-man right on the app. So

 

maybe maybe he stays up all year the money he makes and he puts it in the mattress, and then he takes the mattress and on top of his car. He drives across cuts the mattress open all the money comes out.

 

He’s a successful businessman. So they say and he’s made million dollar bets before. It’s all about marketing

 

man. Yeah, you’re right. It’s marketing. He’s lost his last six Maybe he’s becoming a fade God.

 

Let’s say he’s definitely helping Caesars sportsbook and I guess he’s building his own name for in some in some way I never heard of him before a few years ago, all of a sudden match was Mac and interesting four and a half million on the money line at all. Its support it’s a ballsy bet but hey, the Bengals have we’re not going to put out our predictions right here for the game. You’ll next week we’re going to be getting more into the Super Ball. We’ll be back on Wednesday and of course next Friday at the edge.

 It’s going to be our Super Bowl edition. We’re also going to have one of our broadcast this step languorous broadcasting from Los Angeles. So we’re going to be talking all about that next week. I saw that they’re selling parking spaces for the game in SoFi stadium. One’s going for $4,000 already and that’s a neighborhood. It reminds me of the old orange ball down here in Miami. When you go see the dolphins in the 80s You used to park and just people’s driveways and they would charge you 2030

 

Maybe a Jimmy in that driveway to man you couldn’t breathe you were lucky to get out of your car.

 

But but the seller needs to sell any spaces in that area. And so phi for 1000s of dollars one sold for four grand and you still got to walk like a half mile to the stadium. Crazy. Crazy is right but it’s all the hoopla goes with the Super Ball. You’re a big Brady guy Scotty I saw one of his rookie cards and I know you have some memorabilia. You’re probably sitting on some nice assets there his rookie card sold on eBay $2.3 million it was authorized by some auction company it’s a nice

 

yeah somebody’s been holding that for a long time and they made you know they said all his memorabilia shot up this week like 200% So hold anything from Brady. I know you have some shirts at all. Hold on to it man.

 

I got some nice I got two nice Brady Jersey signed with the certificates right from the New England Patriots. So that’s not a bad little situation I’m sitting with their

 

hang on to it’s like a good stock

 

anything like it you know like I said the guy goes when a player goes to 10 Super Bowls, winning seven of them just getting to 10 alone in this day and age with the poverty out there. I just don’t see it. I don’t ever see it happening again. I don’t think and to have a career 22 years like that. Not all the injuries in the way that how physical the game is and the speed of the game. These quarterbacks get knocked out quickly. I mean, I’m surprised that you know guy like that he’s just phenomenal. Just you know, without a

 

doubt his record probably will not be broken for many many years to come. We’re going to be getting to two college hoop games for Saturday. We’re going to talk about the pro ball we will put out Best Bets at all. I found a couple of props that I think are interesting. 

First of all the game, the line is moved the bid on the Super Bowl rams are up to minus four and a half. I believe they open that three and a half totals been dropping down to 48 and a half you got Dre you want to comment on this one I mean obviously that that in the under what what what do you see here?

 

I mean, I think people are just starting to see the Rams defense for what it is that they’re in Donald’s probably the best player actually he is the best player in the NFL. He’s probably one of the second greatest defensive players ever. And Jalen Ramsay, the best corner League, I’ve seen that they just only allowed 17 points to the Niners. And I think they’re saying that this Bengals defense is pretty good, too. They stopped Mahomes. And they only allowed three points in overtime to the chief. So people are starting to realize that.

 

Yeah, look. Go ahead.

 

No, I just look at this right now. It’s all hype. It’s just hopeless. I think it’s just the hype of you know, all these shows are taught all these majors go out they are talking about the Superbowl and they’re just hyping people up and I don’t go buy that early money stuff on a game like this. I think. I think the short money guys wait around, they see what the public’s stolen and they try to take advantage of in that point in time. Probably like later of next week, mid to late upon next week, they’ll start moving in with the stronger money.

 The guys who really know how to do this. I mean, you know, the guys that could dissect these games really know the advantages and disadvantages when it comes to betting right now I think it’s just you know, it’s all hype money that’s going on these games.

 You know, everyone’s talking about the defenses, how sits in a defensive showed up recently, and obviously, how the Rams defense has been with these players they have that Dre was just mentioning, so I It could be, it could be the steel, the steel, the steel, the Super Bowl, or it could be you could get caught in a bad trap. I’m going to wait till next week, I’m going to do all my homework I need to do, I’m going to speak to the people I speak to the sharp people that know this game inside and out that have given me my record, and myself that we put together our record over the years of being successful winning the Super Bowl.

 

Alright, we’re going to be covering that on next week’s shows. If you want our premium plays for this weekend coming up, you could visit our website online sports bet calm. And when you register, which is free. All the premium plays will be sent to you via email or text. And if you want Scott’s premium plays, head over to his Instagram page at SM sports picks PACKs. And he’s been on a roll lately. So check out his page. I saw the team totals, rams 27 and a half. Bangles 21 and a half. So they all looking for a a rather lowest scoring game on that. Let’s see how sharp they are there. I

 

remember you remember years ago that the Super Bowl that they couldn’t, they scored so many points. These teams were running up like big scores. They were winning, like fought they’re scoring 40 points, 50 points one team and blowing people out. And then all of a sudden over the last several years that it’s changed around where these games are really not been blowouts. They’ve been more closer type games and more, you know, tighter games. Matter of fact, you know, when the Patriots beat the Rams find the school’s 10th The three in the Super Bowl. Last year, Tampa Bay shut down Kansas City.

 I think I don’t know if that game went under or over? I’m trying to remember exactly. But I know tan line on there. They went under Yeah. So I don’t really get caught up in that because one of these teams could score a ton of points. Well, this game could be it could be a very defensive game because the both of these teams really haven’t been in the Super Bowl in a very long time. You know, while the Rams were in a couple years ago, but they only must have three points and McVeigh’s record in Super Bowls is not really that wonderful if you’re looking at you know a little something to look at.

 But these are the type of games that they could open it up and these guys could go crazy and start throwing and throwing the ball over. This could be a real tight game. Okay, I

 

mean, have we seen the game in the playoffs this year? continues on this trend. This is gonna be a really good game.

 

Well, it’s

 

nonetheless seconds. Exactly. I

 

mean, I looked I’ve been looking at a bunch of props here we’re not necessarily going to be putting out props right now though. I’m gonna throw out a personal one that I personally like in a second, but ot eight to one you can get. I mean, I think that’s a reasonable bet there. Like I said, these games have been coming down little wire can this go to OT Of course it could eight to one, a safety, eight to one plus 800 But it means eight.

 

I think that could be an interesting play the safety because you got a young quarterback that likes to throw the ball a lot against the veteran quarterback, that’s a gunslinger. And these guys sometimes make crazy mistakes or fling the ball, they’ll just get tried to get rid of it. You know, anything’s possible. The safety plays is an interesting play. I’m going to really look into that over the next couple days.

 

It’s a it’s a one my friend wrote me a

 

really interesting play in a game like this just for the the guys that are running their offense, you got a gunslinger that likes to throw the ball, you got a young kid that likes to throw the ball. And it seems like they go for it. And they do make sometimes make, you know, wild decisions. And sometimes if you’re deep in your territory, and you make a crazy decision, that ball starts running, fumbling and bumbling around down there, someone could pick it up and you know, grab safety on these teams if they’re pinned back into this zone. So that’s actually what the bank was online. Yeah, that could be an interesting play that safety. I don’t get involved like prop plays like that. But I like the scenario that there could be a safety in this game. Okay, well.

 

On that note, Tommy D is going to put out an early prop prediction. And I going to be playing it probably tonight. Joe burrow, the throw an interception.

 

Whoo. Joe has been averaging about 70 some odd percent completion rate, I think over the last several games, and he hasn’t thrown too many. He hasn’t made too many mistakes, Tommy so ever. He hasn’t played

 

Jaylen, Randy and Aaron.

 

I mean, he’s gonna be he’s gonna be pressured. They’re gonna they’re gonna come right after him from the get go. It’s minus 120.

 

That’s the turnover thing. I like that. Is there a prop on turnovers football teams combined in this game?

 

There’s a prop on literally

 

every an interesting play because you got to worry.

 

We’re gonna go over more of the prop starting next week but There’s hundreds if not 1000s of cross. Here’s another one and then we’re going to get to college basketball. This one is more of a I mean, it’s not a serious prop but Al Michaels Chris Collins where they’re going to be the announces for this game and BC. 

Alright, will they quote the point spread or the total? oddsmakers are saying no minus 400 Yes, plus 250. Going back, Michaels over the years used to allude to certain things, he would never actually quote the line. But now it’s sports betting legal in most states, and NBC is a player, you can get plus 250 A day called the line or the total Dre, you’re shaking your head, you don’t think you’ll actually come out and actually talk numbers?

 

Not I think he’ll allude to it. Maybe he’ll say something, you know, just alluding to it, but I don’t think he’ll directly quote the line. If that is what the sportsbooks are offering you directly quoting the line, then no, I would not take it.

 

Well, they’re saying minus 400. So if you agree with that, you’re right. But 250 If they allude to either one, it would be more Michaels than Collingsworth calm, a little more conservative, but that’s an interesting one. If we’re going to talk about some basketball. Now. We got the pro ball if you want all premium plays for the weekend. Once again, head over to the online sports bet.com register, you’ll get an email, you’ll get them tax-free. And you could check Scott out like I said on his Instagram ad as some sports books. Alright, let’s talk college hoops and gentlemen, two games first game, USC, they’re ranked 19th in the country against Arizona. Number seven, this game is at Zona Scott start off. What do you think?

 

Pac 12 Ooh, a great matchup. 19 318 and two can’t can’t beat a game like that. I wish I had the exact line I’m

 

seeing minus 10. Scott.

 

Ozone is Arizona’s favorite biotech.

 

Well, it opened at 11 and a half and it’s already gotten down to 10.

 

Well, you gotta respect Arizona, because the number one team in the nation when it comes to assists per game, they’re averaging the game. So they have an edge over everyone else by multiple right there could be a difference of 1012 points. I think. USC averages about 14 assists in the game so that right there is a margin if it goes based on things like that. I think the rebounding advantage is pretty close.

 The shoot the key, another key that is going to give Arizona a big edge not only this, just but USC is a terrible shooting a free throw shooting team. They’re averaging 63% from the line, which is terrible and clutch situations. When it comes to one on ones you start missing the front end of the other team gets the ball.

 You know, the other team has a shot to come down and put some points up and Arizona is a decent shooting team from the free throw line. They average about 74%. But key factors in this game got to be honest with you. It’s going to be an excellent game. I feel you know Arizona is 12 an hour at home. You USC has played really well on the road. I don’t like that line to double digits. I gotta be honest with you.

 

I was expecting much. Yeah,

 

I was thinking seven and a half of my mind. A little more than you know, USC. I think they were UCLA the other night, they were about a six and a half point favorite. I

 

think it’ll definitely come down a bit.

 

But I’m thinking that Arizona is going to blow them out. I just think right now the momentum. This is a time of the year. I think Arizona is is a better program. And I think they have more weapons than a team like USC. And I think that big difference with the assist in the inside game. And that free throw shooting is going to come back to haunt USC in a game like this. I think the line set is no something, obviously to make this a double-digit number. And even if it comes down to you know, eight and a half or nine, I think that Arizona is going to win this game and I think they’ll win this game pretty decisively. I think they’re going to make a statement and they’re on a high off that big win against UCLA. And I think USC is walking into a hornet’s nest and I wouldn’t be surprised if they get blown out in this game. And Arizona continues their winning ways 12 And oh at home to

 

try What’s your take on this one?

 

I mean at the same status Scott they’re their first 98 assists per game this Arizona season is playing amazing right now. They just be the number three ranked team in the nation.

 

They’re they’re wrapped up yeah, they

 

won my 10 Yeah, well, they’re, they’re now at home they won. They have yet to lose at home this season. They’re 7474 and one against the spread at home this season. And they start to look at here’s USC on the road against Arizona is three and eight in their last 11 So I think air They’re going to blow them out here. Well, in a crowd is electric,

 

you got to look at something to this time of the year teams of Pekin because it’s February you got to start going into March, you’re gonna start having your tournament, you know, your conference tournament games, you’re finishing up your schedule, I think there’s a key that certain teams take it up a notch, and they really stopped propelling, and certain teams stay flat. They you know, they’re more content. I don’t know if it’s content, I don’t even want to use the word content, but they’re just kind of they play like on a flatline where certain teams are playing on an upper level. And I think Arizona is probably the most talented squad in the Pac 12 Overall, and I think based on all these factors, like I said, the bad free throw shooting theme, the assist the rebounding, all these factors that the outside shooting of Arizona, they got some really good three point shooters, I think that’s gonna be really tough. Unless, unless USC has that golden a game and they bring that eight-plus game, they’re gonna have a hard time staying in this game.

 

All right, well, it’s going to be an interesting matchup, no doubt. The second game, and this is going to be somewhat of an emotional game. Duke at North Carolina Coach K’s last game in North Carolina. Excuse me, Apple Hill. Yeah, Chapel Hill drive. Did you see a number on this one?

 

I see Duke minus three to minus three

 

on the road. Let’s go back to you. Dre does do they do it for the gitbook code?

 

How you going to lose Coach K’s last game. In North Carolina. I don’t think Duke does. I think Duke rallies for the team. I think they cover here I actually like this number, I’d try and get it to two and a half. Um, but Duke is Duke and North Carolina both won four straight games in North Carolina has yet to lose at home this season. But I think Duke does it to them. And Duke wins by three or more. I don’t see a way they lose this game. And Coach K’s last game, it’s going to be a lot of emotion involved. And I think Paulo bonjoro gets it done and leads Duke and we also you also have to look at the fact that the first place in the ACC is at risk here. Duke is half a game off on North Carolina and a couple of other teams. So I think Duke is really going to lock it in.

 

Maybe take them on the money line. You want to be a little safer, a little safer. Oh

 

god, I love you guys. But I think you’re both making a big-time mistake with this one. I really do. I think they

 

were backing up the truck.

 

I know, I’m not gonna back the truck up. But I could see it. I could see this game being a North Carolina when they’re 12. And oh, at home, you know, they want to stick it in coach case, backside on his last game there. You know, because for all the things he’s done, and they have, but you know, the great thing about this series is they played so many times. And I think it’s almost like dead even. And the total points scored by both teams. And it’s like, like 1215 I don’t even know I saw some number the other night. 

But they’re only separated by like less than 10 points. Total points scored between both these teams playing against each other over the last how many decades. I mean, it’s crazy how close the series have Ben, and I think that home crowd is going to be so jacked up, this is going to be like North Carolina’s Super Bowl. So for you know, for them in college basketball, I think a home dog with North Carolina in this game. And if I can get this game and buy it up to four or better because this line could, it could go up it might stay the same.

 I don’t even know if three is the right number. But if Duke is the favorite in this game, I really like both Carolina in this game. I think they’re coming into the game, right? That’s why you know, at home, they’ve been playing, you know, so decent seven and three and LS 10 Dukes at two in the last 10 I think that both six and four against the spread overall in the last 10 You know, games, playing against other teams. But I like the dog in this game.

 I think the crowd is going to be unbelievable. I think it’s going to be a very intense game. And I think North Carolina is going to get so jacked up for this game to try to send Coach Koff with a bye-bye. You know, hey, bye-bye. However, that song goes. Yeah, yeah, it’s whatever the case may

 

spare us, please. We never get the idea.

 

I don’t get paid for the thing. And I think North Carolina is a really good play in this game. And I wouldn’t be surprised if they win this game by about six to 10 outright showing up for this one. Because do remember I’m looking at some numbers that three and two on the road. They’re not they haven’t been that proven on the road yet. And you’re coming into a place we team 12 And oh, you know that jacked up for you? Because it’s such a huge rivalry in Chapel Hill. That crowd is going to be 13,000 Strong going rooting for one team, not not for another team, one team which is North Carolina titles. So I think that would be all the emotions of the game. It’s going to favor North Carolina because I think that Duke is gonna have added pressure on him. Like Dre was It’s a win for a coach can get in that win. It’s not an easy place to get the winning.