Atlanta Tops The Charts in The National League | Braves vs Blue Jays | OSB
Atlanta Braves at Toronto Blue Jays: Prediction and Betting Tips
By Sam Batz
The MLB season continues on Saturday, May 13th with an excellent matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM EST, MLB.TV). The Braves and Blue Jays have a 3-game series scheduled, and the matchup on the 13th is the 2nd of the series. This series is their first and only meeting of the regular season, but all-time, the Blue Jays are 1 win up on the Braves with a 31-30 record. Toronto will look to extend their series lead, but the Braves enter the matchup with a better record and a hotter streak. Sportsbooks have the Blue Jays favored by -1.5 runs but keep a close eye on the current odds, as they are likely to change, especially if the Braves take the first game of the Series on Friday.
The Atlanta Braves (+1.5; ML +100)
The Atlanta Braves are 25-12 (67.6%) a quarter of the way through the season. They lead the NL East, are at the top of the National League standings, and are 2nd in the MLB (4 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays). At +59, the Braves have the 3rd-best run differential in the league, averaging 5.38 runs and 3.78 runs allowed per game. According to FiveThirtyEight, Atlanta is nearly guaranteed to make the playoffs, and at 16% (+450), the Braves are the favorites to win the World Series this year. Yet despite their superior record and many accolades, Atlanta is the underdog for Saturday’s matchup against the Blue Jays, but the Braves have a good chance to win, meaning it could be a decent payout to take Atlanta if the moneyline stays where it’s at.
The Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5; -120)
The Blue Jays are 21-16 (56.8%) and find themselves in 4th place in the AL East, 5th in the American League, and 7th in the MLB. The Blue Jays have a decent shot to make the playoffs (64% chance) and are projected to end the season with a 90-72 record, but Toronto is in a bit of a slump at the moment. The Jays went 3-7 in their last 10 games and are coming off back-to-back losses against the Philadelphia Phillies. They face a tough opponent in the Atlanta Braves, who could either bury the Blue Jays deeper or give them some much needed confidence with a win against a quality opponent. Toronto is favored to win because they are brilliant at home, winning 75.0% of the time, and they hit the ball very well, averaging 4.8 runs per game this season.
Braves vs. Blue Jays Opening Odds
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Braves | +1.5 (-175) | Ov 9.5 (+100) | +100 |
Toronto Blue Jays | -1.5 (+145) | Un 9.5 (-120) | -120 |
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Braves vs. Blue Jays: Season Stats
Atlanta Braves (25-12) .676 199 (5th) 140 (T-4th) +59 329 (T-8th) .262 (7th) 60 (3rd) 190 (6th) 10-9 (52.6%) 15-3 (83.3%) | Stat Type Pct. Total Runs Total Runs Against Run Differential Hits Bat Avg. Homeruns RBI Home (Win-rate) Away (Win-rate) | Toronto Blue Jays (21-16) .568 178 (10th) 163 (T-12th) +15 329 (T-8th) .257 (11th) 42 (T-15th) 166 (10th) 9-3 (75.0%) 12-13 (48.0%) |
Braves vs. Blue Jays: Betting Trends
Atlanta Braves
- 18-19 record ATS
- 13-5 record ATS on the ROAD
- 3-8 record ATS versus the AL
- 22-14-1 O/U record
- 6-4 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 4-2 as UNDERDOGS
- 4-0 as UNDERDOGS on the road
Toronto Blue Jays
- 19-18 record ATS
- 7-5 record ATS at home
- 3-5 record ATS versus the NL
- 17-18-2 O/U record
- 8-2 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 17-11 as FAVORITES
- 8-2 as FAVORITES at home
Braves vs. Blue Jays: Starting Pitcher Comparison
Atlanta Braves 3-0 1.74 1.11 41.1 33 36 13 3 | Stat Type (Probable) Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR | Toronto Blue Jays 3-3 4.91 1.24 40.1 42 41 8 4 |
Braves vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Take the Braves to win over the Blue Jays on Saturday. Atlanta is excellent on the road, winning 83.3% of the time, and averaging 6.0 runs per game away from home. Although the Blue Jays are solid at home, winning 75.0% of their games in Toronto, the Braves are better on both sides of the ball. Atlanta scores more often and prevents fewer runs than the Blue Jays. After winning 7 of their last 10 games, the Braves have all the momentum, and they are starting Bryce Elder on the mound Saturday, who is a perfect 3-0 this season.
Prediction: Atlanta Braves ML (+100)
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