Super Bowl LVII: Best Player Props

By Sam Batz

Super Bowl LVII kicks off on Sunday, Feb. 12th and will feature the AFC Champion Kansas City Chiefs squaring off against the NFC Champion Philadelphia Eagles. The Chiefs and Eagles are both 16-3 on the season, including the playoffs, and were each the No. 1 seed for their respective conference. Kansas City and Philadelphia both had unexpectedly great seasons, and undoubtedly deserve to compete for the NFL’s most coveted prize, the Lombardi Trophy.  

It may go without saying, but the reason the Chiefs and Eagles were so successful this year is because of the incredibly talented players that put in the hard work every week just to give their teams a shot to play in the Super Bowl. There is no shortage of talent across these two rosters, and I am excited to see what these unbelievable athletes can do on the biggest stage in football. 

 

Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds

Betting odds courtesy of PointsBet:

Team	Spread	Total	Moneyline
Kansas City Chiefs	+1.5	Ov 50.5 (-110)	+100
Philadelphia Eagles	-1.5	Un 50.5 (-110)	-120

 

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Chiefs vs. Eagles Regular Season Stats

Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) 29.2 (1st) 21.7 (16th) 413.6 (1st) 328.2 (11th) 7,032 (1st) 5,579 (12th) 23 20

Stat Type Points/Game Opponent Points/Game Yards/Game Opponent Yards/Game Total Yards Total Yards Allowed Giveaways Takeaways

Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) 28.1 (3rd) 20.2 (8th) 389.1 (3rd) 301.5 (2nd) 6,614 (2nd) 5,125 (3rd) 19 27

Favorite Player Props

Isiah Pacheco, Chiefs RB, Over 65.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Breakout Kansas City running back, Isaiah Pacheco, has become an integral part of the Chiefs potent offensive scheme. Pacheco’s speed, quickness, and toughness is reminiscent of Tyreek Hill, who spent six seasons with the Chiefs and wore the same no. 10 jersey as Pacheco. In his first career postseason, Pacheco is averaging 93 total yards per game, and has been heavily involved in both the run and passing game. 

On Sunday, he will face an Eagles defense that led the league in sacks (70), and gave up the fewest passing yards per game (179.8) during the regular season. Philadelphia will be all over Mahomes, likely forcing him to dump the ball off to his RB’s, as he won’t have much time to find his receivers deep. Furthermore, the Chiefs lead the league in screen passes, and against a blitz-heavy defense like Philadelphia’s, will continue to throw plenty of screens to the guys out of the backfield. Moreover, the Eagles run defense isn’t the best. They gave up 121.6 rushing yards per game this season, and a speedy back like Pacheco can exploit the Eagles weakness against the run. I predict Isiah Pacheco will have a big game in his first ever Super Bowl, and will go over his 65.5 rushing + receiving yards prop. 

 

Travis Kelce, Chiefs TE, Over 7.5 Receptions

Travis Kelce led the Chiefs once again in targets (152), receptions (110), yards (1,338), and touchdowns (12). At this point in his career, we expect nothing short of pure excellence from the 10th year tight end. Kelce has been Patrick Mahomes’ favorite target for as long as we can remember, and I expect Kelce to have another top-performance in Super Bowl LVII. Kelce averaged 6.5 receptions during the regular season, but is averaging 10.5 receptions during the playoffs. The Eagles love to get after the quarterback, and when Mahomes is out of the pocket, he is almost always looking for big #87. The Eagles have an impressive pass defense, and with a looming ankle injury that continues to be a question, Mahomes won’t be throwing many balls deep down field. Instead, there he will either dump the ball off to his running backs, or find Travis Kelce somewhere over the middle for a short gain. Kelce may not get many yards, but I expect him to get plenty of receptions. I predict Travis Kelce will go over his 7.5 receptions prop. 

 

A.J. Brown, Eagles WR, Under 70.5 Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown led Philadelphia in targets (145), yards (1,496), yards per game (88.0), and touchdowns (11). It was a spectacular year for the first-year Eagle, and I’m sure the Titans are kicking themselves for letting Brown go. However, once the playoffs hit, it’s been all about the running game for the Eagles offense. Philadelphia is averaging 208.0 rushing yards and just 137.5 passing yards in their two postseason matchups. In both games, the Eagles ran the ball over 60% of the time, leaving few opportunities for their receivers. A.J. Brown is averaging just 25.0 yards per game during the postseason, and with the Eagles running game dialed up to eleven, I don’t anticipate Brown’s role changing much during the Super Bowl. I predict A.J. Brown will go under his 70.5 receiving yards prop. 

Dallas Goedert, Eagles TE, Over 4.5 Receptions

The Eagles love to run the ball, but when they let Jalen Hurts let loose downfield, Dallas Goedert is one of his favorite targets. Goedert is averaging 5 receptions per game in the playoffs, and against a Chiefs defense that gave up 220.9 passing yards per game this year, he could be in for a big day. Goedert is easily the best tight end on the Eagles and is on the field for a majority of the snaps. Kansas City had the second-most sacks this year (55), behind only the Eagles, and will certainly do their best to get after Jalen Hurts. Goedert will be a top-option for Hurts when he needs to get the ball out quickly, and could be a big part of the Eagles offensive game plan for Sunday. I predict Dallas Goedert will go over his 4.5 receptions prop.  

 

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