NFL Playoff Betting — Why the Bengals Could Win

On the surface, it looks like a rather daunting task for the Cincinnati Bengals as they prepare to play the Kansas City Chiefs for the right to go to the Super Bowl. And maybe Cincinnati’s victories over the Las Vegas Raiders and Tennessee Titans weren’t too pretty.

But BetAnySports customers have to remember that this team won the AFC North championship, and they were absolutely not expected to do that at the season’s outset. They have improved in phases of the game that had really been plaguing them in the recent past, so they may not be in a bad position to take that last step.

They will have to do it on the road, of course, as this game begins at 3:05 p.m. Eastern time at Arrowhead Stadium in  Kansas City.

At the moment, Cincinnati is getting a full touchdown from the Chiefs:

Kansas City Chiefs -7 (-115)

Cincinnati Bengals + 7 (-105)

Over 54.5 points -110

Under 54.5 points – 110

if we were going to make a case, it might go something like this:

First of all, as the Chiefs have won 10 out of 11 games, that lone defeat came at the hands of Cincinnati. And frankly, it wasn’t an accident. The Bangles shredded the Kansas City  defense, with Joe Burrow throwing for 446 yards and four touchdowns, even as he was sacked four times.

Rookie wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase was impossible for the KC secondary to stop. He was targeted 12 times by Burrow and caught 11 passes for 266 yards and three touchdowns. So this is a gargantuan task for defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to deal with him and still keep the other Cincinnati weapons in check. If you look at the box score from that game, you’ll see that Tee Higgins, the team’s #2 wideout, averaged almost 21 yard s on three catches, so Burrow was more or less doing what he wanted to do out there on the field.

That game was not ancient history either, as it took place only four weeks ago, on January 2nd.

Looking at the virtues of Burrow, the former Heisman Trophy winner, can fuel Cincinnati’s case as well. He was best in the league at 70.4% completions, as well as 8.9 yards per attempt. That’s outstanding. And if you are a fan of analytics, you may want to take note that he was the top-rated passer in the league according to the system employed by Pro Football Focus, a well-respected site. That’s right; he was ranked higher is in Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes and everybody else.

Cincinnati has balance in its offense too, as there is little question that Joe Mixon is one of the better running backs in the league, with 1205 yards and 13 rushing touchdowns in the regular season.

And maybe you have to consider whether the Improvement in Kansas City’s defense it’s just a tad overrated. After all, Cincinnati did gain 475 yards against them, and the 400-yard mark has been broken a couple of other times during this Kansas City surge.

Cincinnati has become very respectable on the defensive end as well. The Bengals were fifth the league in yards allowed per drive this season, so it certainly was not a cakewalk to score against them, as it may have been in recent years.

On top of that, this is the least penalized team in the league, if you use the barometer of yards per game. So they are in a position where they don’t hurt themselves all that much from that perspective.

Maybe a key guy here is CJ Uzomah, the Cincinnati tight end. If Burrow has to get rid of the ball in a hurry to escape the Kansas City pass rush, he can use some short-range outlets, and the Chiefs have allowed 73% completions and 10.7 yards per completion to the tight end position.

So it is hardly outside the realm of possibility that Cincinnati, priced at + 275 on the money line, could come out of this as the team traveling to Los Angeles in two weeks’ time.

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