NFL ODDS & PREVIEWS — NINERS, BILLS, BUCS AND BOLTS IN LATE GAMES
NFL Odds & Previews — Niners, Bills, Bucs and Bolts in Late Games
NFL Odds & Previews — Niners, Bills, Bucs and Bolts in Late Games (12/12)
OK, here we go:
San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals
NFL Odds at OnlineSportsBet: Niners -2.5, total 49.5
If you know anything about the 49ers, you know that running the football is an essential part of Kyle Shanahan’s game plan. In fact, when it comes to rushing play percentage, San Francisco is third in the league.
That’s why it might hurt a bit for them to have a thin backfield. Elijah Mitchell, a rookie out of Louisiana who has been a smash hit, has not come out of the concussion protocol. Debo Samuels is listed as questionable, but we expect he’ll play and put some time in the backfield. Jeff Wilson is the guy they are going to be relying on, and we are not sure he can deliver all the mail.
If the Niners don’t run with some authority, they don’t score a lot of points. That’s all there is to it. So we are not expecting a bonanza on their part, as the Bengals can turn them into a one-dimensional side. We would take the points with the home team and also shade a little toward the under here.
New York Giants at Los Angeles Chargers
NFL Odds at OnlineSportsBet: Chargers -9, Total 43.5
The Giants will be starting Mike Glennon at quarterback, as he was able to come out of concussion protocol. They almost had to turn to Jake Fromm, who has only been with the team a little more than a week and has never thrown a pass in an NFL game. Either way, Freddy Kitchens, who was elevated to replace Jason Garrett as the guy calling the plays, is not going to be able to transform this offense just yet. And explosive wideout Kadarius Toney has been declared out with a quadriceps injury. Saquon Barkley has been somewhat disappointing, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry, and unless he has a breakout performance against a team that has given up 4.6 yards per rushing attempt, the Giants won’t have a chance.
The bad news for them is that the Chargers have actually tightened up a bit against the run, giving up only 100 yards per game over the last four. Against Cincinnati last week, Joe Mixon was not able to make a dent, as Los Angeles got off to a big lead and held him to 54 yards.
The Giants have played six straight games under the total, and a big part of that is their ineptitude in scoring points only 26 over their last three contests.
Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFL Betting Odds at OnlineSportsBet: Bucs -3.5, Total 53
We know what Buffalo is capable of at its best; after all, the Bills are second in the NFL in yards allowed per drive. But it’s kind of hard for us to reconcile it when a team loses a home game against a division rival that puts the ball in the air only three times. Obviously, the elements had something to do with it, but New England controlled matters thoroughly.
Obviously the dynamic is a little bit different in facing the Buccaneers, who have the highest percentage of passing plays in the NFL. Tom Brady has not slowed down at all; at age 44 he is the top quarterback in the league in the DYAR statistic, which measures overall efficiency like WAR does in baseball.
There is no doubt that it will probably do Buffalo some good to get out of Buffalo weather, and so we can see some points being put on the board. That promotes an over, but Tampa Bay, with perhaps the best wide receiver duo in the league (Mike Evans and Chris Godwin), will put pressure on a Buffalo secondary that is missing Tre White, one of the premier cornerbacks in the league. We would lay the points here.
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