Detroit in Command of NFC North | Packers vs. Lions | OSB
NFL Week 12: Green Bay Packers (4-6) at Detroit Lions (8-2)
By Sam Batz
When: Thursday, November 23rd at 12:30 PM EST
Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Watch On: FOX
Matchup (Predictor): Green Bay Packers (35.7%) vs. Detroit Lions (64.3%)
Week 12 of the regular season kicks off with a classic NFL matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving morning. The Lions are leading the NFC North with an 8-2 record, while the Packers trail behind in 3rd place of the division with a 4-6 record. Detroit is heavily favored to win the game, and come in as 7.5 point favorites. The Lions beat the Packers 34-20 in week 4, and with a win on Thanksgiving the Lions will snag their 5th-straight win over Green Bay, and their 4th-straight win of the season, while Green Bay is looking to steal a road win from their divisional rivals. The NFL can be unpredictable, but here we will help you navigate the odds and provide useful betting tips so that you walk away with a great payout on this Packers vs. Lions showdown.
Packers vs. Lions: Best Odds
Team | Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
Green Bay Packers | +7.5 (-112) | Ov 47 (-110) | +285 |
Detroit Lions | -7.5 (-108) | Un 47 (-110) | -360 |
Odds are constantly changing but OSB is here to keep you updated. Click here for the latest odds on the Packers vs. Lions Thanksgiving matchup, along with every week 12 NFL game.
If you take the Packers Moneyline (+285): You can bet $100 to profit $285, for a total payout of $385, if the Packers win.
If you take the Lions Moneyline (-360): You can risk $360 to win $100, for a total payout of $460, if the Lions win.
If you take the Packers to Cover the +7.5 Point Spread (-112): You can risk $112 to win $100, for a total payout of $212, if the Packers win the game, or lose by less than 7.5 points.
If you take the Lions to Cover the -7.5 Point Spread (-108): You can risk $108 to win $100, for a total payout of $208, if the Lions win the game by more than 7.5 points.
Packers vs. Lions: Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers
- 5-5 ATS this season
- 2-3 ATS on the road
- 4-6 O/U record on the season
- 3-2 O/U record on the road
- 3-6 record as UNDERDOGS this season
- 1-4 record as UNDERDOGS on the road
Detroit Lions
- 7-3 ATS this season
- 3-2 ATS at home
- 6-4 O/U record on the season
- 3-2 O/U record at home
- 7-1 record as FAVORITES
- 4-1 record as FAVORITES at home
Packers vs. Lions: Best Player Prop
Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions RB, Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs is slowly becoming one of the best running backs in the NFL. After a slow start to the season, where he played second fiddle to David Montgomery and never saw more than 10 carries a game, Gibbs has finally become a vital part of the Lions potent offensive attack. An injury to Montgomery paved the way for Gibbs to become the team’s leading ball carrier, and he didn’t disappoint. In his last 4 outings, Gibbs recorded 83.3 rushing yards per game, 5 touchdowns, and a 67% snap share. Gibbs and Montgomery are a double-edged sword, and the Lions are using them to slice through defenses.
Gibbs is in for a big day on Thursday, as he’ll face a generous Green Bay run defense. The Packers are allowing 134.7 rushing yards per game, the 5th-most in the NFL. In their last 2 games, Green Bay gave up 177.5 rushing yards per contest, and they are in for a long day against Detroit’s dual threat backfield. Even splitting carries with David Montgomery, Jahmyr Gibbs will see ample opportunities, and is nearly guaranteed to go over his 46.5 rushing yards prop against Green Bay.
Take the Over on Jahmyr Gibbs’ 46.5 rushing yards prop. This bet is priced at -120, which means you can risk $120 to win $100, for a total payout of $220, if Jahmyr Gibbs records at least 47 rushing yards.
Packers vs. Lions Game Predictions
The Lions are heavily favored to beat the Packers, and I have to agree with the sportsbooks on this one. Take the Detroit Lions to win the game by a sizable margin. The Packers struggled to move the ball against Detroit in their first meeting, recording 230 total yards (203 passing, 27 rusahing) and converting on just 3/11 3rd downs. Since then, the Lions have only gotten better, averaging 399.6 yards per game, the 2nd-most in the NFL. Moreover, Green Bay has struggled on the road, recording a 1-4 record in away games. The Detroit Lions on the other hand, are 4-1 at home, average 7.0 more points per game than the Packers, and are the better team overall.
Moneyline Pick: Detroit Lions (-360)
ATS Pick: Detroit Lions (-7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (47)
Prediction: Packers 17; Lions 27
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