Chiefs Face Bengals Once Again In AFC Championship | Bengals vs Chiefs | OSB
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs
By Sam Batz
On Sunday, Jan. 29th, NFL fans everywhere will find out who will be playing in the biggest football game of the year, Super Bowl LVII. The playoffs have reached the Conference Championship Round, and only four teams remain. Three of these four teams made it to the Conference Championship last season (Bengals, Chiefs, and 49ers), but none of them ended the year lifting the Lombardi Trophy. Two teams desperate to lift the trophy this time around, are AFC finalists the Cincinnati Bengals and the Kansas City Chiefs. In a repeat of last year’s AFC Conference Championship game, the Bengals and Chiefs will clash once again for the right to represent their conference in the Super Bowl.
The Bengals finished the regular season with a 12-4 record and won the AFC North title for the second consecutive season. Cincinnati has won 10 consecutive games, which includes the two playoff wins over the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills. The Bengals are averaging 28.3 points per game over their impressive winning streak, scoring 34 total touchdowns, and only allowing 18.5 points per game, outscoring their opponents by 98 points (283 PF, 185 PA). The Bengals are red-hot and now find themselves in the fourth Conference Championship game in franchise history, seeking Cincinnati’s first ever Super Bowl win.
The Kansas City Chiefs went 14-3 during the regular season, claiming their seventh consecutive AFC West title, and now find themselves in their fifth consecutive Conference Championship game. The Chiefs are 2-2 in the AFC Championship, losing 24-27 to none other than the Cincinnati Bengals in their most recent appearance. Kansas City has the ultimate shot at redemption on Sunday, but are favored by an incredibly slim margin. Patrick Mahomes is 0-3 against Joe Burrow, and after suffering a high-ankle sprain in last week’s win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, may not be 100% for his fourth career AFC Championship. The Chiefs are on a six-game winning streak, averaging 28.8 points per win and allowing 19.8 points to their opponents. They now face their budding AFC rivals, the Cincinnati Bengals, who are looking to take Kansas City down for the second straight year.
Bengals vs. Chiefs By The Numbers
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Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) Offense
Defense
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Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) Offense
Defense
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*All numbers are based on regular season statistics. Current postseason numbers not included.
Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds
Betting odds courtesy of PointsBet:
|
Team |
Spread |
Total |
Moneyline |
|
Cincinnati Bengals |
+1.5 |
Ov 48 (-110) |
+105 |
|
Kansas City Chiefs |
-1.5 |
Un 48 (-110) |
-125 |
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Bengals vs. Chiefs Bettings Trends
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Cincinnati Bengals
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Kansas City Chiefs
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Joe Burrow vs. Patrick Mahomes
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Joe Burrow
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Patricks Mahomes
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*All numbers are based on regular season statistics
Prediction
It will be a high-intensity, closely fought battle, but I like the Chiefs in this one. Mahomes is the type of player who plays well under pressure and will put his team on his shoulders. Also, I’m sure he’s been listening to everyone talk about how he has never beaten Joe Burrow, and there’s no way that is sitting well with a competitor like Mahomes.
The Chiefs did lose to the Bengals 24-27 during the regular season, the same score as last year’s AFC Championship game. However, now the game goes back to Kansas City, where the Chiefs went 7-1 this season, and are 12-9 in the playoffs all-time. Patrick Mahomes is 9-2 at home in the playoffs, and even with his bum ankle, I expect him to lead the Chiefs to the Super Bowl.
Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline and the Over. Final Score: 31-28
Favorite Player Props
Joe Burrow, Bengals QB, Under 280.5 Passing Yards
Joe Burrow has gone 5-1 in the playoffs over his young career, and now finds himself in his second consecutive AFC Championship game against a familiar opponent. Burrow is averaging 225.5 passing yards during this year’s playoffs. He threw for 286 yards against the Chiefs during Week 13 of the regular season, but I doubt the Chiefs will give him enough time or space to do that again. Kansas City had the second-most sacks (55) in the league and loves putting pressure on the QB. Burrow is a great player but I expect him to go under his 280.5 passing yards prop.
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs QB, Under 285.5 Passing Yards
Mahomes was averaging 308.8 passing yards per game during the regular season, but recorded just 195.0 yards in last week’s win over the Jaguars. The high-ankle sprain has many concerned about how mobile Mahomes will be, and it is questionable whether or not he will be able to perform the on the run, side arm slings he has become known for. I expect head coach Andy Reid will lean on his running game and change the game script to work around Mahomes’ injured ankle. The injury has me and many others concerned, and is the reason I expect Patrick Mahomes to go under his 285.5 passing yards prop.
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