OKC Heavily Favored with Giannis Sidelined | Bucks vs. Thunder | OSB

NBA: Milwaukee Bucks (49-31) at OKC Thunder (55-25)

By Sam Batz

Bucks vs Thunder

When: Friday, April 12th at 8:00 PM EST

Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Watch On: ABC

Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks vs. OKC Thunder

Two playoff bound teams are gearing up for a head-to-head matchup on Friday, as the Milwaukee Bucks take on the OKC Thunder. The Bucks are 2nd in the East, clinching their 8th straight playoff berth, while the Thunder are tied for 2nd in the West, clinching a spot in the playoffs for the first time since 2020. These are two of the best teams in the NBA, but with just 2 games left on their respective schedules, what would have been a blockbuster showdown has devolved into a one-sided affair. The Thunder are heavily favored over the Bucks, as Milwaukee has virtually nothing left to play for, but OKC still has their sights on the top-spot in the West. Add on some key injuries to the Bucks, and the Thunder should win without much fuss.    

Below you’ll find all of our picks for the Bucks vs. Thunder game, including stats, scores, and advice. We’ll help you navigate the odds and provide helpful betting tips for Friday’s matchup between the Bucks and Thunder.   

Bucks vs. Thunder Odds 

Team

Spread

Total (O/U)

Moneyline

Milwaukee Bucks

+10.5 (-110)

Ov 223.5 (-110)

+390

OKC Thunder

-10.5 (-110)

Un 223.5 (-110)

-520

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Bucks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 35-45 ATS 
  • 16-22 ATS on the road
  • 40-40 O/U record 
  • 17-21 O/U record on the road
  • 45-22 as FAVORITES
  • 17-12 as FAVORITES on the road
  • 4-9 as UNDERDOGS 
  • 1-8 as UNDERDOGS on the road

OKC Thunder

  • 44-35-1 ATS
  • 25-14 ATS at home
  • 43-34-3 O/U record 
  • 19-18-2 O/U record at home
  • 45-14 as FAVORITES
  • 28-5 as FAVORITES at home
  • 10-11 as UNDERDOGS 
  • 3-3 as UNDERDOGS at home

Bucks vs. Thunder Stat Comparison 

Milwaukee Bucks

W2 (4-6)

119.5

116.3

+3.2

48.8%

37.4%

44.3

12.3

118.0 (5th)

114.9 (18th)

31-11 (73.8%)

18-20 (47.4%)

Stat Type

Streak (L10)

Points/Game

Opponent Points/Game

Point Diff

Field Goal %

Three-Point %

Rebounds/Game

Turnovers/Game

Offensive Rating

Defensive Rating

Home Record (Win-Rate)

Away Record (Win-Rate)

OKC Thunder

W3 (6-4)

119.8

113.1

+6.7

49.8%

38.9%

41.9

11.8

118.1 (4th)

111.5 (4th)

31-8 (79.5%)

24-17 (58.5%)

Bucks vs. Thunder Matchup History

  • Regular Season Games: 150 (1968-2024)
  • All-time Series: Bucks 77 wins; Thunder 73 wins
  • Season Series: Bucks 1-0

This Friday will mark the 151st regular season matchup in the Bucks vs. Thunder 56 year history. Milwaukee leads the all-time series 77-73, as well as the season series, having beat OKC 118-93 earlier this year. The Bucks are on a 6-game win streak against the Thunder, sweeping OKC over two consecutive seasons, with the Thunder’s last win over Milwaukee happening three years ago. However, for Milwaukee, a 7th straight win over the Thunder is looking increasingly unlikely, as OKC continues to improve and prevailing injuries continue to hurt the Bucks.

Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction

Don’t overthink this one, go with the OKC Thunder to crush Milwaukee on Friday. The Bucks will be without their star player Giannis Antetokounmpo, who suffered a calf injury and will be out the rest of the regular season. Giannis is expected to return for the playoffs, but he won’t be on the court against OKC. Bucks starting point guard Damian Lillard is also banged up, and is now listed as doubtful for Friday’s contest. Without Dame or Giannis the Bucks have no chance against a healthy OKC side, and the Thunder will steamroll Milwaukee.    

Bucks vs. Thunder predictions: 

  • Moneyline Pick: OKC Thunder (-520)

If you take the Thunder Moneyline (-520): You risk $520 to win $100, for a total payout of $620, if the Thunder win straight up. 

  • ATS Pick: OKC Thunder (-10.5)

If you take the Thunder to Cover the -10.5 Spread (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the Thunder win the game by at least 11 points. 

  • O/U Pick: Over (223.5)

If you take the Over on 223.5 total points (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the Bucks and Thunder combine for more than 223.5 points. 

 

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