Miami Needs Butler Back | Heat vs. Celtics| OSB
NBA Playoffs: (8)Miami Heat at (1)Boston Celtics
By Sam Batz
When: Wednesday, April 24th at 7:00 PM EST
Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA
Watch On: TNT/ESPN2/NBC Sports
Matchup: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
The Heat did not do well without Jimmy Butler, losing by 20 points to the Boston Celtics in Game 1 of their first round series. Boston was a 14-point favorite entering Game 1, and are now a 14.5-point favorite in Game 2. The Celtics dominance was absolute in the series opener, and Miami had no way of stopping Boston. The Celtics made 22 threes (22/49) and shot 47.6% from the field, and held the Heat to just 94 points. Miami needs to make some serious adjustments, or this series will be over quickly.
Predicting the NBA playoffs is no easy task, but we are dedicated to the cause. Here we are highlighting the Heat vs. Celtics, but we cover every team in every game. To learn more about paid picks, predictions, and props from across the NBA, visit us at OSB or follow us on Instagram, where we release free picks daily.
Odds can change quickly, but stay up-to-date by visiting OSB’s odds page, where you’ll find the latest spreads, money lines, and O/U totals. Continue on here for our Heat vs. Celtics Game 2 predictions, which includes stats, scores, and betting advice to help you navigate the odds.
Heat vs. Celtics Odds
Team
Spread
Total (O/U)
Moneyline
Miami Heat
+14.5 (-110)
Ov 204.5 (-110)
+800
Boston Celtics
-14.5 (-110)
Un 204.5 (-110)
-1400
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Heat vs. Celtics Betting Trends
Miami Heat
42-41-2 ATS
25-16-2 ATS on the road
36-49 O/U record
15-28 O/U record on the road
11-25 as UNDERDOGS
11-15 as UNDERDOGS on the road
Boston Celtics
43-36-4 ATS
24-17-1 ATS at home
43-39-1 O/U record
22-20 O/U record at home
64-16 as FAVORITES
38-4 as FAVORITES at home
Heat vs. Celtics Stats
Miami Heat (46-36)
110.1
108.4
+1.7
46.5%
37.0%
42.3
11.8
113.3 (21st)
111.5 (5th)
22-19 (53.6%)
24-17 (58.5%)
Stat Type
Points/Game
Opponent Points/Game
Point Diff
Field Goal %
Three-Point %
Rebounds/Game
Turnovers/Game
Offensive Rating
Defensive Rating
Home Record (Win-Rate)
Away Record (Win-Rate)
Boston Celtics (64-18)
120.6
109.2
+11.4
48.7%
38.8%
46.3
11.3
122.2 (1st)
110.6 (2nd)
37-4 (90.2%)
27-14 (65.9%)
Heat vs. Celtics Head-to-Head History
Regular & Post Season Games: 174 (1988-2024)
All-time Series: Heat: 73 wins; Celtics: 101 wins
Season Series: Celtics 3-0
Playoff Series: Celtics 1-0
Wednesday’s matchup will be the 175th game between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat. The Celtics have of course dominated the series, posting 28 more wins than the Heat, but Miami can point to last year’s Eastern Conference Finals if the Celtics ever talk trash. This season though the Celtics have had the Heat’s number. Boston swept the regular season series 3-0, and would love nothing more than to sweep Miami in the playoffs as well. Revenge can be a powerful motivator.
Heat vs. Celtics Best Player Prop
Bam Adebayo; Over 0.5 threes (+123)
It may sound ridiculous, but I’m betting on Bam Adebayo to hit at least one three-point shot against the Celtics in Game 2. Bam is not a three-point shooter, but this season he attempted more threes than the past 4 years combined. Bam went 15-42 (35.7%) from beyond the arc, attempted two 3-point shots in Game 1, and could see more long-range opportunities as Miami gets desperate. Boston won’t bother guarding Bam that far out, and I’m banking on the big man drilling at least one three in retaliation. The value on Adebayo’s three point player prop is a great value, and I’m taking the over.
Heat vs. Celtics Prediction
Take the Boston Celtics moneyline (-1400) and the Miami Heat to cover (+14.5). The Heat will be hard pressed to win a game without Jimmy Butler, but as Boston gets more comfortable, Miami’s opportunity to strike grows. The Heat won’t win Game 2, but they won’t lose by 20-points either. A 10 to 12 points loss seems entirely possible, especially if Boston has a large lead and decides to pull their starters.
Home court advantage is huge for the Celtics. Boston went 37-4 (90.2%) in TD Garden, and won 80% of their games when favored, while Miami went 11-25 (30.6%) as underdogs. Simply put, the Heat are outmatched in this series. In Game 1, Jayson Tatum recorded his first triple-double of the season (23 pts, 10 ast, 10 reb), and the Celtics saw 6 total players with double-digit scoring figures. Miami needs a perfect game to beat Boston, but the odds are almost insurmountable.
Heat vs. Celtics predictions:
Moneyline Pick: Boston Celtics (-1400)
If you take the Celtics Moneyline (-1100): You risk $1100 to win $100, for a total payout of $1200, if the Celtics win straight up.
ATS Pick: Miami Heat (+14.5)
If you take the Celtics to Cover the -14.0 Spread (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the Celtics win the game by more than 14 points.
O/U Pick: Over (208.5)
If you take the Over on 208.5 total points (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the Heat and Celtics combine for more than 208 points.
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