NBA Playoffs: (8)Miami Heat at (1)Boston Celtics

By Sam Batz

When: Wednesday, April 24th at 7:00 PM EST

Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA

Watch On: TNT/ESPN2/NBC Sports

Matchup: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

The Heat did not do well without Jimmy Butler, losing by 20 points to the Boston Celtics in Game 1 of their first round series. Boston was a 14-point favorite entering Game 1, and are now a 14.5-point favorite in Game 2. The Celtics dominance was absolute in the series opener, and Miami had no way of stopping Boston. The Celtics made 22 threes (22/49) and shot 47.6% from the field, and held the Heat to just 94 points. Miami needs to make some serious adjustments, or this series will be over quickly. 

Predicting the NBA playoffs is no easy task, but we are dedicated to the cause. Here we are highlighting the Heat vs. Celtics, but we cover every team in every game. To learn more about paid picks, predictions, and props from across the NBA, visit us at OSB or follow us on Instagram, where we release free picks daily. 

Odds can change quickly, but stay up-to-date by visiting OSB’s odds page, where you’ll find the latest spreads, money lines, and O/U totals. Continue on here for our Heat vs. Celtics Game 2 predictions, which includes stats, scores, and betting advice to help you navigate the odds.     

Heat vs. Celtics Odds 

Team

Spread

Total (O/U)

Moneyline

Miami Heat

+14.5 (-110)

Ov 204.5 (-110)

+800

Boston Celtics

-14.5 (-110)

Un 204.5 (-110)

-1400

We are supported by Caesars Sportsbook! Click here to get up to $1,000 back as a Bonus Bet if your first cash bet loses. Use Promo Code: OSB1000

Heat vs. Celtics Betting Trends

Miami Heat

42-41-2 ATS 

25-16-2 ATS on the road

36-49 O/U record 

15-28 O/U record on the road

11-25 as UNDERDOGS 

11-15 as UNDERDOGS on the road

Boston Celtics

43-36-4 ATS

24-17-1 ATS at home

43-39-1 O/U record 

22-20 O/U record at home

64-16 as FAVORITES

38-4 as FAVORITES at home

Heat vs. Celtics Stats 

Miami Heat (46-36)

110.1

108.4

+1.7

46.5%

37.0%

42.3

11.8

113.3 (21st)

111.5 (5th)

22-19 (53.6%)

24-17 (58.5%)

Stat Type

Points/Game

Opponent Points/Game

Point Diff

Field Goal %

Three-Point %

Rebounds/Game

Turnovers/Game

Offensive Rating

Defensive Rating

Home Record (Win-Rate)

Away Record (Win-Rate)

Boston Celtics (64-18)

120.6

109.2

+11.4

48.7%

38.8%

46.3

11.3

122.2 (1st)

110.6 (2nd)

37-4 (90.2%)

27-14 (65.9%)

Heat vs. Celtics Head-to-Head History

Regular & Post Season Games: 174 (1988-2024)

All-time Series: Heat: 73 wins; Celtics: 101 wins 

Season Series: Celtics 3-0

Playoff Series: Celtics 1-0

Wednesday’s matchup will be the 175th game between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat. The Celtics have of course dominated the series, posting 28 more wins than the Heat, but Miami can point to last year’s Eastern Conference Finals if the Celtics ever talk trash. This season though the Celtics have had the Heat’s number. Boston swept the regular season series 3-0, and would love nothing more than to sweep Miami in the playoffs as well. Revenge can be a powerful motivator.   

Heat vs. Celtics Best Player Prop

Bam Adebayo; Over 0.5 threes (+123)

It may sound ridiculous, but I’m betting on Bam Adebayo to hit at least one three-point shot against the Celtics in Game 2. Bam is not a three-point shooter, but this season he attempted more threes than the past 4 years combined. Bam went 15-42 (35.7%) from beyond the arc, attempted two 3-point shots in Game 1, and could see more long-range opportunities as Miami gets desperate. Boston won’t bother guarding Bam that far out, and I’m banking on the big man drilling at least one three in retaliation. The value on Adebayo’s three point player prop is a great value, and I’m taking the over. 

Heat vs. Celtics Prediction

Take the Boston Celtics moneyline (-1400) and the Miami Heat to cover (+14.5). The Heat will be hard pressed to win a game without Jimmy Butler, but as Boston gets more comfortable, Miami’s opportunity to strike grows. The Heat won’t win Game 2, but they won’t lose by 20-points either. A 10 to 12 points loss seems entirely possible, especially if Boston has a large lead and decides to pull their starters. 

Home court advantage is huge for the Celtics. Boston went 37-4 (90.2%) in TD Garden, and won 80% of their games when favored, while Miami went 11-25 (30.6%) as underdogs. Simply put, the Heat are outmatched in this series. In Game 1, Jayson Tatum recorded his first triple-double of the season (23 pts, 10 ast, 10 reb), and the Celtics saw 6 total players with double-digit scoring figures. Miami needs a perfect game to beat Boston, but the odds are almost insurmountable.  

Heat vs. Celtics predictions: 

Moneyline Pick: Boston Celtics (-1400)

If you take the Celtics Moneyline (-1100): You risk $1100 to win $100, for a total payout of $1200, if the Celtics win straight up. 

ATS Pick: Miami Heat (+14.5)

If you take the Celtics to Cover the -14.0 Spread (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the Celtics win the game by more than 14 points. 

O/U Pick: Over (208.5)

If you take the Over on 208.5 total points (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if the Heat and Celtics combine for more than 208 points.  

For OSB’s amazing sports betting packages, which include monthly, weekly, and daily options designed to fit the needs of every sports betting enthusiast, click here.