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Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets
By Sam Batz
The Philadelphia 76ers take on the Denver Nuggets in a highly anticipated East vs West matchup on Monday, March 27th (9:30 PM EST, NBA TV). The Sixers lead the season series 1-0 over Denver, winning 126-119 in Philadelphia back in January. Unfortunately for Philly, they don’t get to host this matchup a second time, and must travel to Denver where the Nuggets are nearly impossible to defeat. Denver wins 83.8% of the time in their home arena, which gives them a massive advantage. The Sixers are a phenomenal team, but on the road against the Nuggets they are the underdogs (+180), while Denver is expected to win as the favorites (-238).
Philadelphia 76ers Breakdown (+180)
The Sixers are not underdogs often, but against the top-team in the West on the road, Philly is facing an uphill battle. The 76ers are 49-25 (66.2%) and 3rd in the East. In their last 10 games, the Sixers went 7-3, but are coming off back-to-back losses against Western Conference opponents. Philly is a respectable 19-9 (67.9%) against the West, but lost momentum in their last 2 matchups, and now face the kings of the West. In their first matchup against Denver, Joel Embiid went off, recording 47 points, 18 rebounds, and 5 assists, leading his team to a 7 point victory, and with James Harden likely out, Embiid will once again be the focal point of the Sixers game plan.
Denver Nuggets Breakdown (-238)
The Denver Nuggets are a formidable opponent, especially at home, and even against a quality team like Philadelphia, the Nuggets are difficult to doubt. They are 50-24 (67.6%) and lead the Western Conference by 3.5 games. They were the first team to clinch their division, giving them a guaranteed playoff berth for the 5th consecutive season. The Nuggets fell to the Sixers in the first matchup, but played well and saw 5 different players post double digit points. Denver’s talisman, and reigning 2-time MVP, Nikola Jokić recorded 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 9 assists against Philly but is hoping to get the win this time around.
76ers vs. Nuggets Odds
Team | Spread (Opening) | Total | Moneyline (Opening) |
Philadelphia 76ers | +5.5 (-116) | N/A | +180 |
Denver Nuggets | -5.5 (-116) | N/A | -238 |
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76ers vs. Nuggets: Season Stats
Philadelphia 76ers (49-25) L2 115.2 (14th) 110.5 (3rd) 48.6 (8th) 38.8 (2nd) 117.0 (T-3rd) 112.2 (7th) 26-11 (70.3%) 23-14 (62.2%) | Stat Type Streak (W/L) Points/Game Opponent Points/Game Field Goal % Three-Point % Offensive Rating Defensive Rating Home Record (Win-Rate) Away Record (Win-Rate) | Denver Nuggets (50-24) W3 116.8 (7th) 112.7 (11th) 50.9 (1st) 38.9 (1st) 117.7 (2nd) 113.6 (15th) 31-6 (83.8%) 19-18 (51.4%) |
76ers vs. Nuggets: Betting Trends
Philadelphia 76ers 41-31-1 19-17 (Away) 17-11 (vs. West) 41-33 4-6 11-11 (as Underdogs) 8-9 (Underdogs Away) | Betting Trend ATS (Season) ATS (Home/Away) ATS (Conference) O/U (Season) O/U (Last 10) ML (Favorite/Underdog) ML (Home/Away) | Denver Nuggets 40-33-1 23-13-1 (Home) 15-14 (vs. East) 36-38 4-6 42-15 (as Favorites) 29-6 (Favorites Home) |
76ers vs. Nuggets Prediction
Take the Denver Nuggets to win. The Nuggets are a different team at home, and after losing back-to-back road games, the Sixers are losing momentum. Denver has a target on their back as the best team in the West, but they wear it well, and haven’t let the pressure affect their play. The matchup to watch is Jokić vs. Embiid, but they will cancel each other out, leaving it up to their teammates to pick up the slack. Philly’s James Harden is doubtful for Monday, and it would be a big hit to the Sixers if the 10-time All-Star remains sidelined. Denver is the best shooting team in the league in terms of percentage, and at home where they are most comfortable, the Nuggets will avenge themselves with a win over Philadelphia on Monday.
Prediction: Denver Nuggets Moneyline (-238) and the Over
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