Desperation Time In Dallas | Kings vs Mavericks | OSB

Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks

By Sam Batz

Sacramento Kings at Dallas Mavericks

The 3 seed Sacramento Kings take on the 11 seed Dallas Mavericks in Dallas on Wednesday, April 5th (8:30 PM EST, Bally Sports/NBA League Pass). Opening NBA odds had the Mavericks as -3 point favorites despite the fact that Dallas has struggled mightily in recent weeks. Current odds have the Kings as +4 point underdogs with their Moneyline priced at +150, while the Mavericks Moneyline is set at -160. In their two previous matchups, the Kings and Mavericks averaged a combined score of 248.5, the Over/Under is currently set at 245.5. The season series is tied 1-1, but on Wednesday night, a winner will be crowned. 

Sacramento Kings Breakdown (+150)

The Kings have clinched a spot in the playoffs for the first time since 2006. They are the 3 seed in the West with a record of 47-31 (60.3%) and are 5.0 games behind the conference leading Denver Nuggets. Sacramento is easily the most improved team this year but will hope to avoid an early postseason exit because of a lack of playoff experience. The Kings lead the league in points per game (121.4), and went 6-4 in the last 10, averaging 122.5 points per game during that stretch. Sacramento wins 63.2% of the time away from home, and on Wednesday, it’s Dallas or bust. 

Dallas Mavericks Breakdown (-160)

The Mavericks are 37-42 (46.8%), and with only three games left on the schedule, Dallas is in serious jeopardy of missing the playoffs. The Mavericks have lost 3 consecutive games and went 3-7 in their last 10. They average a middling 114.1 (16th) points per game but give up just as many (average points against: 113.8). Dallas is 1 game behind the 10th seed OKC Thunder, and need to win Wednesday or they risk being eliminated from the play-in tournament. Despite an MVP performance and blockbuster deals, it’s been a disappointing season for the Mavericks, who need to rally around something in order to salvage their season. 

Kings vs. Mavericks Odds

Team

Current Spread

Current Total

Opening Moneyline

Sacramento Kings

+4 (-110)

Ov 245.5 (-110)

+150

Dallas Mavericks

-4 (-110)

Un 245.5 (-110)

-160

Check back later for the latest Spread, Total, and Moneyline

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Kings vs. Mavericks: Season Stats

Sacramento Kings (47-31)

L1

121.4 (1st)

118.3 (26th)

49.7 (2nd)

37.2 (8th)

119.0 (1st)

116.0 (T-24th)

23-17 (57.5%)

24-14 (63.2%)

Stat Type

Streak (W/L)

Points/Game

Opponent Points/Game

Field Goal %

Three-Point %

Offensive Rating

Defensive Rating

Home Record (Win-Rate)

Away Record (Win-Rate)

Dallas Mavericks (37-42)

L3

114.1 (16th)

113.8 (15th)

47.6 (13th)

37.1 (9th)

116.0 (6th)

115.9 (23rd)

22-16 (57.9%)

15-26 (36.6%)

Kings vs. Mavericks: Betting Trends

Sacramento Kings

43-35

25-13 (Away)

28-20 (vs. West)

40-36-2

6-3-1

12-16 (as Underdogs)

8-10 (Underdogs Away)

Betting Trend

ATS (Season)

ATS (Home/Away)

ATS (Conference)

O/U (Season)

O/U (Last 10)

ML (Favorite/Underdog)

ML (Home/Away)

Dallas Mavericks 

30-46-3

12-23-3 (Home)

23-26-1 (vs. West)

41-37-1

4-6

30-21 (as Favorites)

21-11 (Favorites Home)

Kings vs. Mavericks: Game Changers

Sacramento Kings 

  • De’Aaron Fox leads the Kings in scoring with 25.2 points per game (13th)
  • Domantas Sabonis averages the most rebound per game (12.4) and leads the NBA with 63 double-doubles
  • The Kings face the Pelicans the night before and are 8-6 on no rest
  • The Kings averaged 122.5 points and 116.9 opponent points per game in their last 10 matchups

Dallas Mavericks

  • Luka Doncic is the offensive engine of the Dallas Mavericks, averaging 32.8 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 8.1 assists per game
  • Kyrie Irving has played 19 games and is 7-12 in Dallas
  • Both Doncic and Irving are listed as “Day-to-Day” on the Mavericks injury report
  • Dallas averaged 118.1 points and 118.5 opponent points per game in their last 10 matchups

Kings vs. Mavericks Prediction

Take the Sacramento Kings to win the game. Dallas’ two best players (Luka Doncic & Kyrie Irving) are questionable, and even if they do play, which is probable, they won’t be at full health. The potency of Sacrmento’s fast-paced offensive style will overwhelm the Mavericks defense and the Kings will break away some time in the second-half. The Kings will be slightly drained from their game the previous night, but against a lower-tier defense like Dallas, Sacramento will be fine. Dallas desperately needs a win but won’t catch any breaks against the NBA’s top-ranked offense. 

Prediction: Sacramento Kings Moneyline (+150) by the Over (245.5)

 

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