Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks: Game 6 Prediction, Player Props, & Betting Tips

By Sam Batz

In a shocking turn of events, the Atlanta Hawks are still alive, and are gearing up to host the Boston Celtics on Thursday, April 27th for Game 6 of their First Round series (8:30 PM, EST TNT). Boston leads 3-2, and were looking set to take the series in Game 5 before Atlanta went on a run late in the 4th quarter, and stole the win. “Ice-Trae” Young hit the go-ahead 3-point shot with 7.3 seconds left in Game 5, securing Atlanta’s victory, and keeping their season alive. No. 2 seed Celtics remain the favorites to win however, with a -6.5 point spread and a moneyline priced at -260. The No. 7 seed Hawks are +6.5 points underdogs with a moneyline set at +210. 

The Boston Celtics (-6.5; ML -260)

Boston has a 91% chance to make it past Atlanta, but the Hawks continue to cause trouble for the heavily favored Celtics. Last year’s Eastern Conference Champions are looking to get back to the Finals, but Boston, who had both a top-two offense and defense during the regular season, are quickly losing momentum. The Celtics are averaging 119.8 points per game against Atlanta, but couldn’t finish them off in Game 5. Boston swept the Hawks 3-0 during the season, but this year’s play-in teams are proving hard to shake in the playoffs. But regardless of the hype surrounding Atlanta, Boston won 60.9% of their road games this season, and are fully expected to win Game 6. 

The Atlanta Hawks (+6.5; ML +210)

Atlanta shocked the world with their Game 5 comeback against the Boston Celtics, but can they do it again? The Hawks travel back to Atlanta where they won 58.5% of their games during the regular season. They are averaging 115.0 points per game against the Celtics, and in Games 3, 4, and 5, shot 40.0% or better from the 3-point line. Trae Young has been money for the Hawks, averaging 29.0 points, 10.2 assists, and 3.8 rebounds per game. Dejounte Murray is back from suspension, and will provide valuable back-court assistance, which could be the catalyst for another Hawks victory.      

Celtics vs. Hawks: Game 5 Odds

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Celtics vs. Hawks: Regular Season Stats

Celtics vs. Hawks: Betting Trends (Regular + Postseason)

Celtics vs. Hawks: Player Props

Jayson Tatum (Celtics Small Forward): Under 3.5 3-Pointers Made

Tatum recorded just 19 points in Game 5, which for an All-Star like him, was a disappointing performance. He shot 8-21 (38.1%) from the field and 1-10 (10.0%) from 3-point range. The Hawks were all over Tatum on defense and never allowed him much space to work. Nevertheless, the Celtics are averaging 54.8 points in the paint, and Tatum has always been a drive-first type of player. If the lane is open, Tatum will take it to the hoop instead of pulling up from Three, and I expect him to go under 3.5 3-pointers made. 

John Collins (Hawks Power Forward): Over 10.5 Points 

John Collins played a pivotal role in Atlanta’s Game 5 victory with Dejounte Murray out. Collins recorded 22 points, a series high for the 6’ 9” Power Forward. He struggled in Games 2, 3, and 4, scoring just 18 total points, but will enter Game 6 with newly found confidence after shooting 50.0% from the field on Tuesday. The Celtics are likely to blanket Trae Young, leaving plenty of room for Collins to work. He averaged 13.6 points per game at home this season, and I expect him to go over 10.5 points in Game 6.     

Celtics vs. Hawks Game 6 Prediction

Take the Boston Celtics to win Game 6 and wrap-up the series. On paper, Boston is the better team by far. Atlanta may average slightly more points per game (118.3) than the Celtics (117.9), but the Hawks are ranked 26th in opponent points per game (118.1), while Boston is ranked 5th (111.4). The Celtics defense has performed below their usual standards in the last 3 games, but after their Game 5 collapse, Boston will enter Game 6 more focused and ready to slow down Atlanta’s fast-paced offense. The Hawks used up all their magic getting back into the Game on Tuesday, and Boston is going to run away with Game 6. 

Prediction: Boston Celtics Cover The Spread (-6.5) 

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