A Must-Win Game For Golden State | Kings vs Warriros | OSB
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors: Game 3
By Sam Batz
The NBA Playoffs continue on Thursday, April 20th when the Sacramento Kings travel to San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors for Game 3 of their First Round series (10:00 PM EST, TNT). The Kings protected their home court well and now lead the series 2-0. The Warriors are terrible on the road, so it’s not surprising they dropped the first games, but now play at home, where they win 80.5% of the time. Through the first two games, Sacramento averaged 120.0 points, while Golden State averaged 114.5. The Kings are underdogs for the first time this series with a moneyline priced at +190, while the Warriors are -6 point favorites with a moneyline priced at -240.
The Sacramento Kings (+190)
The Kings collected their first playoff win in 16 years during Game 1 against the Warriors on Saturday, April 15th, then followed that up with another win in Game 2 on Monday. Sacramento is looking good against the reigning NBA Champs, and are silencing the haters who called them “overrated”. In Game 2, the Kings were led by Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox, who each recorded 24 points, and led the team in minutes. Sabonis led the NBA with 65 double-doubles, but is listed as “doubtful” on the injury report with a “sternum contusion” after Warriors Power Forward Draymond Green appeared to stomp on his chest halfway through the 4th quarter in Game 2. Sabonis has been an integral part of Sacramento’s success, and if he can’t go in Game 3, it would be a massive blow to the Kings.
The Golden State Warriors (-240)
The Warriors are in trouble after dropping the first two games of the series, and if they lose Game 3, they can kiss the playoffs goodbye. Fortunately for Golden State, they are back home in San Fran for the next one, where the Warriors went 33-8 (80.5%) during the regular season. The difference between the Warriors at home and the Warriors on the road was staggering during the regular season, and so far their inability to win away from home has been their downfall. However, the Warriors are an experienced postseason team, and I don’t expect them to go down easily in Game 3. Despite being down 0-2, Golden State still has a better chance to make the finals than the Kings, suggesting this series is far from over.
Kings vs. Warriors: Game 3 Odds
Team | Current Spread | Current Total | Opening Moneyline |
Sacramento Kings | +6 (-110) | Ov 239 (-110) | +190 |
Golden State Warriors | -6 (-110) | Un 239 (-110) | -240 |
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Kings vs. Warriors: Regular Season Stats
Sacramento Kings (48-34) 120.7 (1st) 118.1 (25th) 49.4 (2nd) 36.9 (9th) 118.6 (1st) 116.0 (24th) 23-18 (56.1%) 25-16 (60.9%) | Stat Type Points/Game Opponent Points/Game Field Goal % Three-Point % Offensive Rating Defensive Rating Home Record (Win-Rate) Away Record (Win-Rate) | Golden State Warriors (44-38) 118.9 (2nd) 117.1 (21st) 47.9 (12th) 38.5 (2nd) 115.1 (10th) 113.4 (14th) 33-8 (80.5%) 11-30 (26.8%) |
Kings vs. Warriors: Betting Trends (Regular + Postseason)
Sacramento Kings 47-37 27-14 (Away) 32-22 (vs. West) 41-41-2 3-7 13-18 (as Underdogs) 9-11 (Underdogs Away) | Betting Trend ATS (Season) ATS (Home/Away) ATS (Conference) O/U (Season) O/U (Last 10) ML (Favorite/Underdog) ML (Home/Away) | Golden State Warriors 39-44-1 27-13-1 (Home) 25-29 (vs. West) 46-36-2 4-6 37-21 (as Favorites) 28-8 (Favorites Home) |
Kings vs. Warriors: Best Player Props
Steph Curry (Warriors Point Guard): Over 30.5 Points (-110)
Wardell Stephen Curry II is arguably the greatest Golden State Warrior of all-time. He’s won four Championship rings with the Warriors and is no stranger to postseason pressure. Curry led Golden State with 29.4 points per game during the regular season, and against the Kings, posted 30 points in Game 1, and 28 points in Game 2. In Game 3, Curry will be back home in the Chase Center, where he averaged 29.3 points this season. Steph knows Game 3 is a must-win matchup, and the NBA’s greatest long-range shooter of all-time will put the team on his back, and record over 30.5 points on Thursday.
Kevin Huerter (Kings Shooting Guard): Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-115)
Kevin Huerter is Sacramento’s starting Shooting Guard and averages about 30 minutes per game. Huerter is a 3-point specialist, but has failed to eclipse 3 or more 3-pointers made in the playoffs. He went 0-5 in Game 1 and was 2-9 in Game 2. Huerter shot 40.2% from three and averaged 2.7 3PM during the regular season. If Sabonis is sidelined, Huerter will see more of the ball, and I predict he will go over 2.5 3-pointers made.
Kings vs. Warriors Prediction: Game 3
Take the Golden State Warriors in Game 3. The Warriors are hard to beat at home, and while the Kings are decent on the road (25-16), Golden State will enter Game 3 with an unmatchable intensity. No team has ever come back from a 0-3 deficit, but if the Warriors lose on Thursday, that’s exactly where they’ll be. Draymond Green has been suspended for his actions in Game 2, and while that hurts the Warriors, it’s not a death sentence, especially if Sacramento’s Domantas Sabonis misses time as a result of the stomp. The Warriors can’t afford to drop games at home, and I don’t expect them to on Thursday.
Prediction: Golden State Warriors Moneyline (-240)
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