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Texas Rangers at New York Yankees: Analysis, Prediction, and Betting Tips

Sam Batz

rangers vs yankees

When: Saturday, June 24th at 4:05 PM EST

Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Watch On: Bally Sports/YES Network/MLB Extra Innings

Match Predictor (Win-Probability): Texas Rangers (58.8%); New York Yankees (41.2%)

On Saturday, June 24th the Texas Rangers and the New York Yankees will face-off in their 688th meeting of all-time. The Yankees lead the series 401-285 (58.5%), but in their last 10 matchups, they are 5-5 against Texas. Saturday’s matchup should be a close game, but the Rangers enter as the favorites. The Yankees play their best baseball at home, but they have struggled to hit the ball all season, and will be hard-pressed to keep up with Texas’ top-rated offense. The Yankees are 1-3 against the Rangers this season, scoring 8 total runs to the Rangers 24, which goes to show just how separated New York is from Texas offensively.   

The Texas Rangers  (-1.5; ML -115)

The Rangers are 46-28 (62.2%) and lead the AL West 5.5 games. Texas is 2nd in the American League and 3rd in the MLB, giving them a high probability to reach the playoffs (74% chance). Texas leads the league in total runs (451), run differential (+153), hits (705), batting average (.272), and RBIs (433). However, despite their offensive superiority, the Rangers were an underwhelming 5-5 in their last 10 games. Marcus Semien leads the team with 86 hits on 312 ABs, and Adolis Garcia leads the team with 16 home runs and 58 RBIs (T-1st in MLB).       

The New York Yankees (+1.5; ML -105)

After a slow start to the season, mostly due to injuries, the New York Yankees are 41-34 (54.7%). They are 3rd in the AL East, 5th in the American League, and 10th in the MLB. Unfortunately, injuries continue to cause problems for the Yankees. Superstar Aaron Judge is nursing a toe injury, and although he is progressing nicely through his PT, Judge will be in the lineup on Saturday against Texas. The Yankees injury list is extensive, and against the Rangers blistering offensive firepower, New York will rely heavily on Anthony Rizzo and Gleyber Torres, who have 139 combined hits and 23 combined home runs.       

Rangers vs. Yankees Odds

Team

Runline

Total (O/U)

Moneyline

Texas Rangers

-1.5 (+145)

Ov 8.5 (-115)

-115

New York Yankees

+1.5 (-175)

Un 8.5 (-105)

-105

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Rangers vs. Yankees: Season Stats

Texas Rangers (46-28)

.622

451 (1st)

298 (T-4th)

+153

705 (1st)

.272 (1st)

100 (7th)

433 (1st)

24-13 (64.9%)

22-15 (59.5%)

Stat Type

Pct.

Total Runs

Total Runs Against

Run Differential

Hits

Bat Avg.

Homeruns

RBI

Home (Win-rate)

Away (Win-rate)

New York Yankees (41-34)

.547

331 (17th)

309 (9th)

+22

567 (T-25th)

.229 (27th)

111 (4th)

320 (16th)

23-18 (56.1%)

18-16 (52.9%)

Rangers vs. Yankees: Betting Trends

Texas Rangers

  • 47-27 record ATS
  • 23-14 record ATS on the ROAD
  • 36-15 record ATS versus the AL this season
  • 41-30-3 O/U record this season
  • 4-4-2 O/U record in the last 10 games
  • 36-16 as FAVORITES 
  • 16-7 as FAVORITES on the ROAD

New York Yankees

  • 39-36 record ATS
  • 19-22 record ATS at HOME
  • 28-30 record ATS versus the AL this season
  • 32-41-2 O/U record this season
  • 3-7 O/U record in the last 10 games
  • 12-15 as UNDERDOGS
  • 4-4 as UNDERDOGS at HOME

Rangers vs. Yankees: Starting Pitcher Comparison

Texas Rangers

Jon Gray

6-2

2.96

1.05

76.0

57

65

23

9

Stat Type

(Probable) Pitcher

W-L

ERA

WHIP

IP

H

K

BB

HR

New York Yankees

Luis Severino

0-2

6.30

1.57

30.0

34

28

13

8

Rangers vs. Yankees Prediction

Take the Rangers to beat the Yankees on Saturday, June 24th. The Yankees are going cold, posting a 4-6 record in their last 10, and a 9-11 record in their last 20. Without Aaron Judge, the Yankees are 11-15 (42.3%), averaging a measly 3.35 runs per game. The Rangers on the other hand, are 11-9 in their last 20 games, scoring 5.35 runs per game. Texas is 6-2 with Jon Gray on the mound, and if Gray can limit New York’s home runs, their primary source of scoring, the Rangers will win Saturday’s matchup with ease.  

Prediction: Texas Rangers Moneyline (-115)

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