Miami Looks to Continue Hot Streak | Marlins vs Mariners | OSB

Miami Marlins at Seattle Mariners: Analysis, Prediction, and Betting Tips

Sam Batz

marlinsvsmariners

The MLB regular season continues on Tuesday, June 13th with the Miami Marlins taking on the Seattle Mariners in Seattle (6:40 PM PST, Bally Sports/Root Sports/MLB Extra Innings).  According to the most recent MLB Power Rankings from ESPN, the Marlins are No. 14 and the Mariners are No. 16, making this a solid matchup between two evenly matched teams. The Marlins have 6 more wins than the Mariners, but Seattle enters Tuesday’s contest as -1.5 run favorites. The Marlins are .500 on the road, while Seattle is .531 at home, giving them a slight edge over Miami in Tuesday’s contest. However, the Marlins are the hotter team right now, winning 8 of their last 10, while the Mariners have struggled recently, winning just 3 of their last 10 games. 

The Miami Marlins (+1.5; ML +105)

The Miami Marlins have struggled to stay relevant, but are off to a great start this season with a 37-29 (56.1%) record. Miami is 2nd in the NL East, 3rd in the National League, and 7th in the MLB. The Marlins have made the playoffs just once since winning the World Series in 2003, but are projected to finish the season with 80+ wins, which would be the first time since 2010, and have a 45% chance to reach the postseason, their best odds in decades. Miami is on fire right now, going 8-2 in their last 10 games, while scoring 5.7 runs and recording 8.9 hits per contest. Miami is led by Second Baseman Luis Arraez, who has the best batting average in the MLB (.397), and leads the Marlins with 91 hits on 229 ABs. 

The Seattle Mariners (-1.5; ML -125)

The Seattle Mariners made the playoffs for the first time in 21 years last season, but after starting 31-33 (.484) this season, Seattle has just an 11% chance to reach the postseason for a second straight season. They are projected to finish around .500, but in the highly competitive AL West, Seattle will be hard-pressed to surpass their divisional counterparts. The Mariners are currently 4th in the AL West, 10th in the American League, and 18th in the MLB. They went 3-7 in their last 10, scoring just 3.3 runs per game over the same stretch. The Mariners are struggling to hit the ball this season, as they are 1 of six teams below 500 hits on the season, yet they are favorites in Tuesday’s matchup against Miami. 

Marlins vs. Mariners Odds

Team

Runline

Total (O/U)

Moneyline

Miami Marlins

+1.5 (-160)

Ov 8 (-115)

+125

Seattle Mariners

-1.5 (+140)

Un 8 (-105)

-135

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Marlins vs. Mariners: Season Stats

Miami Marlins (37-29)

.561

266 (26th)

286 (13th)

-20

578 (9th)

.260 (7th)

64 (23rd)

251 (26th)

21-13 (61.8%)

16-16 (50.0%)

Stat Type

Pct.

Total Runs

Total Runs Against

Run Differential

Hits

Bat Avg.

Homeruns

RBI

Home (Win-rate)

Away (Win-rate)

Seattle Mariners (31-33)

.484

279 (T-19th)

282 (10th)

-3

491 (28th)

.229 (26th)

68 (21st)

269 (19th)

17-15 (53.1%)

14-18 (43.8%)

Marlins vs. Mariners: Betting Trends

Miami Marlins

  • 32-34 record ATS
  • 17-15 record ATS on the ROAD
  • 15-3 record ATS versus the AL this season
  • 29-35-2 O/U record this season
  • 5-5 O/U record in the last 10 games
  • 20-20 as UNDERDOGS 
  • 14-12 as UNDERDOGS on the ROAD

Seattle Mariners

  • 30-34 record ATS
  • 14-18 record ATS at HOME
  • 10-13 record ATS versus the NL this season
  • 32-30-2 O/U record this season
  • 6-4 O/U record in the last 10 games
  • 23-21 as FAVORITES
  • 16-12 as FAVORITES at HOME

Marlins vs. Mariners: Starting Pitcher Comparison

Miami Marlins

Edward Cabrera

5-4

4.29

1.38

63.0

49

80

38

7

Stat Type

(Probable) Pitcher

W-L

ERA

WHIP

IP

H

K

BB

HR

Seattle Mariners

George Kirby

5-5

3.50

1.11

74.2

77

61

6

8

Marlins vs. Mariners Prediction

Take the Marlins to beat the Mariners on Tuesday, June 13th. Seattle and Miami have not met often, playing just 18 games between 2005 and 2022. The Marlins lead the series 10-8 over the Mariners, and on Tuesday, they will add another win to their record. Seattle’s recent struggles on offense have hindered their ability to win games, recording 7.6 hits per game in their last 10, while Miami’s bats have exploded in recent weeks, recording 8.9 hits per game in their last 10. The Marlins aren’t as strong on the road as they are at home, but against an ailing Seattle side, Miami’s chances to win on Tuesday are strong.   

Prediction: Miami Marlins Moneyline (+125)

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