Atlanta Has Dominated Miami All Season | Marlins vs Braves | OSB
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves: Analysis, Prediction, and Betting Tips
Sam Batz
When: Saturday, July 1st at 4:10 PM EST
Where: Truist Park, Cobb County, Georgia
Watch On: Bally Sports//MLB Extra Innings
Match Predictor (Win-Probability): Miami Marlins (34.3%); Atlanta Braves (65.7%)
A Thrilling matchup between NL East rivals the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves is set to take place this Saturday. Both teams have shown their mettle throughout the season, promising an exhilarating battle on the diamond in their 9th matchup of the season. The Braves are 6-1 against the Marlins this year, and enter Saturday’s matchup as the favorites (-180). The Marlins have just 1 win against Atlanta, recording 22 runs (3.14 runs per game) and allowing 54 (7.7 runs allowed per game). The Braves have had Miami’s number this year, and are expected to continue that dominance on Saturday.
The Miami Marlins (48-34; +150)
The Miami Marlins are having a great season, yet they seem to fall apart whenever they face the Braves. With a 48-34 (58.5%) overall record, the Marlins are 2nd in the NL East, 3rd in the National League, and 6th in the MLB. In their last 10 games, Miami went 7-3, but in their last 10 games against Atlanta, the Marlins are 3-7. The recent pitfalls against the Braves make Miami the underdogs, but with a young and promising roster, the Marlins will look to build on their current 5-game win streak.
The Atlanta Braves (53-27; -180)
The Atlanta Braves, under the guidance of manager Brian Snitker, have continued their pursuit of success. Building upon their strong performance in recent years, the Braves find themselves atop the NL East standings with a 53-27 (66.3%) record. Atlanta also leads the National League, and is 2nd in the MLB, just 1 game behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Behind a formidable lineup, the Braves are the favorites to win both the NL East and the World Series, which would be Atlanta’s 3rd title in 58 seasons. Regarding Saturday’s matchup, the Braves are expected to roll over the Miami Marlins.
Marlins vs. Braves Odds
Team | Runline | Total (O/U) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
Miami Marlins | +1.5 (-140) | Ov 9 (-110) | +150 |
Atlanta Braves | -1.5 (+115) | Un 9 (-110) | -180 |
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Marlins vs. Braves: Season Stats
Miami Marlins (48-34) .585 334 (24th) 4.07 334 (9th) 4.07 +/- 0 727 (7th) .262 (6th) 77 (23rd) 316 (T-24th) 25-16 (60.9%) 23-18 (56.1%) | Stat Type Pct. Total Runs Runs Per Game Total Runs Against Runs Against Per Game Run Differential Hits Bat Avg. Homeruns RBIs Home (Win-rate) Away (Win-rate) | Atlanta Braves (53-27) .663 441 (3rd) 5.51 324 (5th) 4.05 +117 740 (4th) .270 (2nd) 147 (1st) 425 (3rd) 27-15 (64.3%) 26-12 (68.4%) |
Marlins vs. Braves: Betting Trends
Miami Marlins
- 41-41 record ATS
- 23-18 record ATS on the ROAD
- 21-34 record ATS versus the NL this season
- 36-44-2 O/U record this season
- 4-6 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 24-23 as UNDERDOGS
- 17-14 as UNDERDOGS on the ROAD
Atlanta Braves
- 39-41 record ATS
- 19-23 record ATS at HOME
- 29-22 record ATS versus the NL this season
- 44-33-3 O/U record this season
- 5-5 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 48-26 as FAVORITES
- 26-15 as FAVORITES at HOME
Marlins vs. Braves: Starting Pitcher Comparison
Miami Marlins 5-1 1.34 0.98 47.0 31 54 15 4 | Stat Type (Probable) Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR | Atlanta Braves 7-6 3.81 1.48 85.0 87 100 39 9 |
Marlins vs. Braves Prediction
Take the Braves to beat the Marlins on Saturday, July 1st. Atlanta is averaging 7.7 runs per game against Miami, while the Marlins post a measly 3.14 runs per game against Atlanta. The Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 games, averaging 7.0 runs per contest, and I fully expect them to continue to light up the scoreboard on Saturday. The Marlins are playing well, winning 5 straight but averaging just 4.8 runs per game. Miami won’t be able to keep up with the red-hot Braves, and Atlanta will collect their 7th win of the season against the Marlins on Saturday.
Prediction: Atlanta Braves Moneyline (-180)
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