Arizona Hosts Tampa Bay For First Time in 7 Years | Rays vs Diamondbacks | OSB
Tampa Bays Rays at Arizona Diamondbacks: Analysis, Prediction, and Betting Tips
Sam Batz
When: Tuesday, June 27th at 9:40 PM EST
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Watch On: Bally Sports/MLB Extra Innings
Match Predictor (Win-Probability): Tampa Bay Rays (42.7%); Arizona Diamondbacks (57.3%)
A rare cross-league matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Arizona Diamondback will take place on Tuesday, June 27th for their first matchup since 2019. The Rays and Diamondbacks have played a total of 22 games from 2004-2019, making Tuesday’s contest one of the rarest in baseball. Tampa Bay leads the series 13-9 (59.1%) but the Rays are being given a meager 42.7% chance to beat the much improved Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Tampa Bay Rays (54-27)
The Tampa Bay Rays went 13-0 to start the season, tying the 1982 Atlanta Braves and the 1987 Milwaukee Brewers for the best start in MLB history. The Rays are now 54-27 (66.7%), which remains the best record in the MLB. Tampa Bay’s odds to win the World Series are priced at +475, the 2nd-best in the league, but they have the best-odds to win the American League at +200. The Rays are No. 1 on ESPN’s most up-to-date MLB Power Rankings, yet they are the underdogs in Tuesday’s contest against Arizona. Despite their imposing run differential (+150), garnered from leading the MLB for the fewest runs allowed (301), the Tampa Bay Rays are a middling 20-17 (54.1%) on the road, and were an uninspiring 5-5 in their last 10 games.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (47-32)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been overlooked for far too long, but after missing the playoffs for 5 consecutive seasons, the Dbacks are in prime position to reach the postseason (60% chance). At their current rate, Arizona could even win the division for the first time since 1999. The Diamondbacks record is currently 47-32 (59.5%), putting them in 1st place in the NL West, 2nd place in the National League, and 5th place in the MLB. They went 6-4 in their last 10, averaging 5.4 runs, 9.7 hits, and 1.2 home runs per game over the same stretch. The Diamondbacks are a top-5 offense, but rank 23rd in total runs allowed (373), which could hinder their chances against the Rays, the best team in baseball.
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Team | Runline | Total (O/U) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay Rays | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Arizona Diamondbacks | N/A | N/A | N/A |
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Rays vs. Diamondbacks: Season Stats
Tampa Bay Rays (54-27) .667 451 (2nd) 5.57 301 (1st) 3.72 +150 723 (2nd) .266 (3rd) 123 (3rd) 431 (2nd) 34-10 (77.3%) 20-17 (54.1%) | Stat Type Pct. Total Runs Runs Per Game Total Runs Against Runs Against Per Game Run Differential Hits Bat Avg. Homeruns RBIs Home (Win-rate) Away (Win-rate) | Arizona Diamondbacks (47-32) .595 409 (T-4th) 5.18 373 (23rd) 4.72 +36 712 (5th) .264 (4th) 91 (T-13th) 390 (5th) 23-18 (56.1%) 24-14 (63.2%) |
Rays vs. Diamondbacks: Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Rays
- 46-35 record ATS
- 19-18 record ATS on the ROAD
- 14-10 record ATS versus the NL this season
- 45-32-4 O/U record this season
- 6-3-1 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 5-9 as UNDERDOGS
- 3-6 as UNDERDOGS on the ROAD
Arizona Diamondbacks
- 48-31 record ATS
- 22-19 record ATS at HOME
- 11-6 record ATS versus the AL this season
- 38-36-5 O/U record this season
- 5-4-1 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 26-13 as FAVORITES
- 14-7 as FAVORITES at HOME
Rays vs. Diamondbacks: Starting Pitcher Comparison
Tampa Bay Rays 5-3 3.86 1.20 49.0 44 71 15 5 | Stat Type (Probable) Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR | Arizona Diamondbacks 9-2 2.84 1.09 98.1 87 104 20 6 |
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Take the Dbacks to beat the Rays on Tuesday, June 27th. Arizona is 9-2 with Zac Gallen on the mound, and even against a top-tier team like Tampa, Gallen will give the Diamondbacks the edge in Tuesday’s matchup. With 98.1 innings pitched, Gallen has given up just 6 home runs this season, which equates to approximately 1 home run every 16 innings pitched, a highly impressive statistic for the modern age. Arizona has the mettle to go toe-to-toe with the league leading Tampa Bay Rays, and with their playoff-hungry fans at their backs and their ace on the mound, the Diamondbacks look poised to collect their 48th win of the season.
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Win
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