Another Installment of the Great Chicago-St. Louis Rivalry | Cubs vs Cardinals | OSB
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals: Analysis, Betting Tips, and Prediction
Sam Batz
When: Thursday, July 27th at 7:45 PM EST
Where: Busch Stadium
Watch On: Bally Sports/Marquee Sports/MLB Extra Innings
Match Predictor (Win-Probability): Chicago Cubs (52.9%); St. Louis Cardinals (47.1%)
The Chicago Cubs are gearing up to take on their biggest rivals, the St. Louis Cardinals. Often referred to as the “Route 66 rivalry” or the “I-55 rivalry”, the Cubs-Cardinals matchup is one of the oldest and most bitter rivalries in Major League Baseball. 1892 marked the first meeting between the Cardinals (as the Browns) and Cubs (as the Colts). That first matchup sparked a rivalry that has stretched across decades of animosity, and on Thursday, July 27th, the Cardinals and Cubs will play the next game in their historic rivalry.
The Chicago Cubs (49-51; +104)
Thursday will mark the 2,477th regular season game between the Cardinals and Cubs, but it’s Chicago who leads the all-time series. The Cubs have 1,264 wins against the Cardinals 1,213, giving Chicago the edge with a 51.03% win-rate over St. Louis. This year however, the Cubs have not inspired much hope. With a middling 49-51 record, Chicago is 3rd in the NL Central, 9th in the National League, and 20th in the MLB. Against St. Louis this season, the Cubs are 5-4, but have won 3-straight against their bitter rivals, and will look to continue that streak come Thursday.
The St. Louis Cardinals (45-57; -114)
The Cubs may be struggling, but that goes double for the St. Louis Cardinals. At 45-57, they are 4th in the NL Central, 12th in the National League, and 24th in the MLB. The Cardinals are 5.0 games back on the Cubs, and 11.0 games back on the division leading Brewers. In their last matchup against Chicago, St. Louis lost 7-2 after giving up 5 runs in the 3rd and failing to score a single run until the 6th. The Cardinals average more hits per game (8.77) than Chicago (8.58), but they haven’t turned those hits into runs, averaging 5.4 runs per game to Chicago’s 7.3.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds
Team | Runline | Total (O/U) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
Chicago Cubs | +1.5 | Ov 8.5 (-120) | +104 |
St. Louis Cardinals | -1.5 | Un 8.5 (+100) | -114 |
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Cubs vs. Cardinals: Season Stats
Chicago Cubs (49-51) .490 486 (10th) 4.86 441 (13th) 4.41 +45 858 (T-15th) .253 (14th) 113 (18th) 470 (10th) 27-26 (50.9%) 22-25 (46.8%) | Stat Type Pct. Total Runs Runs Per Game Total Runs Against Runs Against Per Game Run Differential Hits Bat Avg. Homeruns RBIs Home (Win-rate) Away (Win-rate) | St. Louis Cardinals (45-57) .441 483 (11th) 4.74 505 (26th) 4.95 -22 895 (8th) .256 (8th) 137 (8th) 466 (11th) 22-26 (45.8%) 23-31 (42.6%) |
Cubs vs. Cardinals: Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs
- 50-50 record ATS
- 23-24 record ATS on the ROAD
- 32-34 record ATS versus the NL this season
- 4-5 record ATS against the Cardinals this season
- 52-43-5 O/U record this season
- 7-1-2 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 22-33 as UNDERDOGS
- 9-17 as UNDERDOGS on the ROAD
St. Louis Cardinals
- 49-53 record ATS
- 22-26 record ATS at HOME
- 33-37 record ATS versus the NL this season
- 5-4 record ATS against the Cubs this season
- 50-46-6 O/U record this season
- 5-3-2 O/U record in the last 10 games
- 26-37 as FAVORITES
- 14-19 as FAVORITES at HOME
Cubs vs. Cardinals: Starting Pitcher Comparison
Chicago Cubs 10-3 2.95 1.11 103.2 94 96 21 6 | Stat Type (Probable) Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR | St. Louis Cardinals 6-5 4.33 1.31 126.2 141 86 25 12 |
Cubs vs. Cardinals Prediction
Take the Cubs moneyline on Thursday. Chicago will beat the Cardinals in Busch Stadium, and collect their 4th-straight win over St. Louis this season. The Cardinals and Cubs are extremely well matched at the plate, but defensively the Cubs have the edge, giving up 4.41 runs per game to the Cardinals 4.95. Chicago is going with Justin Steele on the mound, who has lost just 3 games this season, and has allowed just 6 home runs in 103 innings pitched. It’s always a great matchup between these two, but in their next meeting, go with the Cubs.
Prediction: Chicago Cubs Moneyline (+104)
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