Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Tuesday MLB Betting Breakdown

Pitching Matchup Analysis: Feltner vs. Knack

The Tuesday night showdown at Dodger Stadium features a pitching matchup that heavily favors the home team. Colorado sends Ryan Feltner (0-0, 2.81 ERA, 16 K) to the mound, bringing a concerning track record against Los Angeles. In his previous five starts against the Dodgers, Feltner has struggled mightily, posting a 1-2 record with a bloated 6.57 ERA while allowing Dodger hitters to feast on his offerings.

The Dodgers counter with rookie Landon Knack (1-0, 10.38 ERA, 5 K), who despite his high ERA, brings intriguing potential to this matchup. While Knack has faced some challenging lineups in his limited major league exposure, this represents his first career start against the struggling Rockies offense, potentially offering him an opportunity to build confidence and improve his numbers.

Rockies Offensive Struggles Continue

The Colorado Rockies enter Tuesday’s contest with a dismal 3-13 season record after dropping Monday’s series opener 5-3 to the Dodgers. Their offensive production has been inconsistent at best, with only a few bright spots in an otherwise underperforming lineup.

Brenton Doyle has emerged as Colorado’s most productive hitter, leading the team with 17 hits, 3 home runs, and 12 RBIs. His recent power surge is notable, with homers in three of his last four games. Kyle Farmer has been a pleasant surprise, batting an impressive .349 with a team-leading 6 doubles among his 15 hits.

The supporting cast includes Ezequiel Tovar (14 hits, 4 doubles) and Ryan McMahon (13 hits, 2 home runs), but the collective offensive output remains insufficient. Michael Toglia epitomizes the team’s contact issues with a team-high 27 strikeouts, highlighting why Colorado’s offense ranks among the league’s worst in multiple categories.

Dodgers Looking to Build Momentum

Los Angeles improved to 12-6 after their Monday victory and appears poised to continue their success against the struggling Rockies. The Dodgers’ offensive firepower presents a significant advantage in this matchup.

Shohei Ohtani has lived up to expectations early in his Dodgers tenure, collecting 18 hits including 4 home runs while adding a team-high 4 stolen bases. His consistency against Colorado is particularly noteworthy, having recorded at least one single in seven straight contests against the Rockies.

Tommy Edman has been a revelation, tying for the league lead with 6 home runs while driving in 14 runs. Teoscar Hernandez has provided significant production with 18 hits, 5 home runs, and 16 RBIs. Meanwhile, Mookie Betts has historically dominated the Rockies at Dodger Stadium, homering in four of the last five home meetings and driving in at least one run in five consecutive home games against Colorado.

Betting Trends and Analysis

The statistics and trends overwhelmingly favor Los Angeles in this matchup:

• Colorado has lost 10 consecutive night games against National League opponents

• The Dodgers have won seven straight home games against teams with losing records

• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in their last 10 night games against NL opponents

• Los Angeles has covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL West rivals

However, contrarian bettors might note a few trends supporting Colorado:

• Underdogs have won seven of the Dodgers’ last 10 games

• Underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Dodgers’ last 11 contests

• The Dodgers have lost four straight games as home favorites against NL West teams following a home win

The total presents an interesting contradiction in trends, with six of Colorado’s last seven road games going UNDER, while 16 of the Dodgers’ last 19 night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER.

Prediction and Best Bet

After analyzing all relevant factors, the Dodgers on the run line (-1.5) stands out as the strongest play. Despite Knack’s elevated ERA, he faces a Colorado lineup that has consistently struggled to generate offense this season. Even if the Rockies manage to score a few runs, the Dodgers’ explosive offense should have little trouble punishing Feltner, who has historically struggled against Los Angeles.

The potent Los Angeles batting order featuring Ohtani, Betts, Edman, and Hernandez should provide more than enough firepower to cover the run line. With the Dodgers’ dominant home performance against losing teams and the Rockies’ continued road woes, expect Los Angeles to secure a comfortable victory by multiple runs.

Final Prediction: Dodgers -1.5 (-140)

Expert Insights

Why isn’t Ryan Feltner’s solid 2.81 ERA this season more significant for betting purposes?

While Feltner’s early-season ERA looks promising, his career performance against the Dodgers (6.57 ERA) is more relevant for this specific matchup. Historical performance against an opponent often proves more predictive than overall season statistics, especially early in the season with smaller sample sizes.

Does Landon Knack’s high ERA make the OVER a better play for the total?

Not necessarily. While Knack’s 10.38 ERA suggests vulnerability, he’s facing one of MLB’s weakest offenses. The Rockies’ road scoring difficulties combined with Knack potentially finding his rhythm against a struggling lineup could limit Colorado’s output significantly.

How significant is the Dodgers’ recent trend of underperforming as favorites?

While the Dodgers have indeed struggled to cover as favorites recently, this matchup presents a particularly favorable situation against a team they’ve dominated historically. When strong fundamental advantages align with a team’s strengths and opponent’s weaknesses, recent ATS trends become less significant.

What player prop offers the best value in this matchup?

Mookie Betts to record an RBI (-120) presents exceptional value given his consistent production against Colorado at Dodger Stadium. With RBIs in five straight home games against the Rockies and a favorable matchup against Feltner, Betts is well-positioned to drive in at least one run.

Could the Rockies’ 5-3 loss yesterday indicate they’re showing improvement that might carry into tonight’s game?

While keeping a game close against the powerful Dodgers shows some fight, one competitive loss doesn’t outweigh the Rockies’ broader struggles. Their 3-13 record and fundamental offensive deficiencies suggest yesterday’s relatively close outcome was more likely an anomaly than a turning point.