MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS — NFL SPREAD PICK & PREDICTION
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers — NFL Spread Pick & Prediction
BetAnySports NFL Odds: Packers -6, Total 51
As the Green Bay Packers moved through their first several opponents with relative ease, one had to wonder whether Aaron Rodgers was going to have a record-setting season. But he seemed to be doing it with mirrors, as the Pack continually had offensive players out of the lineup, including wide receiver Davante Adams.
Some who thought the Pack was the beneficiary of some easy pickings at the beginning felt they would get their comeuppance against the Tampa Bay Bucs, and that is exactly what happened, as they went down to a 38-10 defeat against Tom Brady and one of the NFL’s best defenses. In that game, Green Bay was held to just 201 yards and you heard the nay-sayers.
We really don’t know if those people were silenced with last week’s effort, but the Packers were pretty decisive in their 35-20 win over Houston last Sunday. And while Allan Lazard, who had given the receiving corps a boost while Adams was injured, is now out, Adams himself is back. And he went wild against the Texans, with 13 catches for 196 yards. So that connection is alive and well.
At 1 PM ET on Sunday at Lambeau Field, Green Bay takes on the Minnesota Vikings, who are coming off their bye week. This will now be the second time the Vikings have had some extra time to get ready for the Packers. These teams met in the season opener, when Rodgers threw for 364 yards and four touchdowns, and folks started waking up to the idea that Minnesota definitely had a defense that had to be rebuilt.
Green Bay is now 5-1 straight-up and against the pointspread. And if you’re looking for a stat that might mean something to you, when he’s not playing the Bucs, Rodgers has 13 TD passes without an interception.
Minnesota has run the ball almost 47% of the time, and you would too, if you had someone like Dalvin Cook in the backfield. Cook has 489 yards, with a bye week. That’s sixth best in the league. So it’s a good bet that he’ll be moving up in the ranks. But he is listed as questionable with a groin injury.
It’s also a good bet that Minnesota will be running the football as much as possible, in order to limit the number of possessions Rodgers will have. It is quite possible that this game might be decided in the red zone. And if there is something the Vikings do well on defense, it is defend inside their own 20-yard line, where they are fifth best in the NFL in preventing points AND touchdowns.
Green Bay, which leads the NFL in points scored per drive, is very efficient when they get to the red zone, scoring touchdowns 72% of the time. What would worry us is that Asron Jones, who’s been central to this offense, is probably going to sit out of this game with a calf injury. Yeah, that hurts, but Jamaal Williams (77 yards last week) is there to pick up the slack.
The Vikings are going to be a bit limited with Kirk Cousins at quarterback. And obviously there are questions about how far he can possibly take them. We’re siding with the better offensive concept, and the Vikes don’t have the stop unit sufficient enough to slow them down. So we’ll go with the PACKERS.
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