Alex Ducas had a Great Game Finishing | Prediction | OSB
Saint Mary’s vs. San Diego
The Saint Mary’s Gaels will travel to the Jenny Craig Pavilion to take on the San Diego Toreros in a West Coast Conference matchup (9:00 p.m. ET). The Gaels will look to gain momentum from their 81-64 victory over the Portland Pirates. Saint Mary’s have now won four of their last five games. Meanwhile, the Toreros will look to snap their two-game losing streak in this one. On Saturday, San Diego lost to the Pacific Tigers 99-94. The Toreros have also now lost four of their last five games.
With an 22-5 record on the season and an 11-1 record in conference play, the Gaels are in first place in the WCC standings. Saint Mary’s has been excellent on the road this year as they are 5-1 as the away team. The Gaels have gotten production from their players this season. They have four players averaging double digit points a game on the season. Saint Mary’s has been led by freshman guard Aidan Mahaney as he leads the team in points. Mahaney is averaging 15.1 points a game this season. He has also gotten help from senior guard Logan Johnson who is averaging 13.7 points and 3.7 assists (Which leads the team) a game this season.
In their win against Portland on the road, Johnson had a monster game finishing with 34 points, 6 rebounds, and 6 assists. Senior guard Alex Ducas also had a great game finishing with18 points and shooting 6-10 from the three-point line. In the win, Saint Mary’s shot 44.4% from the floor and 46.9% from the three-point line.
Offensively, the Gaels are averaging 72.0 points a game on the season. Defensively, Saint Mary’s has been excellent only allowing teams to score an average of 58.7 points a game on the season. Look to see if the Gaels defense can give San Diego trouble in this game.
With an 11-16 record on the season and an 4-9 record in conference play, the Toreros are in second to last place in the WCC standings. San Diego has struggled this season at home with an 8-7 record. Look to see if they can fix their problems at home when the Gaels come to visit them.
San Diego has gotten production from their guards this season. All four of the Toreros guards are averaging double-digit points this season. Senior guard Marcellus Earlington has led the Toreros this season as he leads the team in points. Earlington is averaging 17.6 points a game this season. He is getting from senior guard Jase Townsend who is averaging 15.8 points on the season.
In their loss against Pacific on the road, Townsend tried his best to give San Diego the win. He finished with 34 points in the game, shooting 12-20 from the floor and 7-11 from the three-point line. Earlington also had a great game finishing with 15 points and 8 rebounds. In the loss, San Diego struggled shooting the ball as they shot 51.5% from the floor and 46.2% from the three-point line.
Offensively, the Toreros are averaging 78.6 points a game on the season. Defensively, San Diego has been terrible allowing teams to score an average of 80.1 points a game on the season. Look to see if they can fix their defensive struggles when the Gaels come to visit them.
Saint Mary’s vs. San Diego odds
Betting odds courtesy of Caesars
- Spread: Saint Mary’s Gaels -13.5
- Over/Under: 138.0
- Moneyline: (Check back in later)
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Saint Mary’s vs. San Diego all-time series
The Gaels and the Toreros have played each other 91 times since both teams were classified as major schools. Saint Mary’s has the advantage in the series with a 58-33 record against San Diego. The last time these two teams faced each other was earlier this season on Dec. 29th when Saint Mary’s won 85-58. In the win, Mitchell Saxen finished with a double-double scoring 20 points and grabbing 10 rebounds. Aidan Mahaney was right behind him finishing with 15 points. The Gaels could simply not miss shooting 56.1% from the field and 44.4% from the three-point line.
Trends to know
– Saint Mary’s is 3-3 ATS on the road this year.
– San Diego is 5-8 ATS at home this year.
– The Gaels are 8-4 ATS in conference play this year.
– The Toreros are 5-8 ATS in conference play this year.
– The Gaels are 13-7 ATS following a win this year.
– The Toreros are 6-8 ATS following a loss this year.
Prediction
I love Saint Mary’s in this spot. I think Saint Mary’s simply has the better team in this game. They also have more weapons than the Toreros. The Gaels defense is a huge factor in this one as they shutdown San Diego. Also, with the Toreros defensive struggles, Saint Mary’s finds success on offense. I think this game goes exactly like their one earlier in the season where the Gaels roll through the Toreros.
Prediction: Saint Mary’s Gaels covers the spread (-13.5).
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