Alabama a Heavy Underdog in First Final Four | Alabama vs UConn | OSB
NCAA Men’s Final Four: (4)Alabama Crimson Tide vs. (1)UConn Huskies
By Sam Batz
When: Saturday, April 6th at 8:49 PM EST
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Watch On: TBS
Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. UConn Huskies
This Saturday we have a must-watch Final Four matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the reigning champion, tournament favorite (-190), UConn Huskies. UConn is heavily favored over Alabama in Saturday’s March Madness semifinal, but the favoritism toward the Huskies is not unwarranted, as the domination UConn has displayed is astounding. The Huskies average 81.25 points per game, but they’re holding opponents to an unparalleled 53.5 points, giving UConn a +27.75 point differential, the best in the tournament by far. Alabama was the top scoring team in the nation this season, averaging 90.6 points per game, but even the Crimson Tides high-powered offense could struggle against UConn’s unbreakable defense. Based on the odds it seems pretty hopeless for Alabama, but in this tournament anything can happen, so don’t count the Crimson Tide out just yet.
Below you’ll find all of our picks for the Alabama vs. UConn game, including stats, scores, and advice. We’ll help you navigate the odds and provide helpful betting tips for Saturday’s Final Four matchup between Alabama and UConn.
Alabama vs. UConn Odds
Team | Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
Alabama Crimson Tide | +11.5 (-115) | Ov 160.5 (-110) | +500 |
UConn Huskies | -11.5 (-105) | Un 160.5 (-110) | -700 |
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Alabama vs. UConn Betting Trends
Alabama Crimson Tide
- 21-15-0 ATS
- 27-9-0 O/U record
- 2-7-0 as UNDERDOGS
- 28.0% chance to beat UConn
UConn Huskies
- 26-12-0 ATS
- 16-21-1 O/U record
- 35-2-0 as FAVORITES
- 72.0% chance to beat Alabama
Alabama vs. UConn Stat Comparison
- Final Four appearances: 0x (First Final Four: 2024)
- Points per Game: 90.6
- Opponent Points per Game: 81.1
- Rebounds per Game: 39.9
- Assists per Game: 15.9
- Turnovers per Game: 11.9
- Field Goal pct: 47.7%
- Three-Point pct: 37.1%
- Free Throw pct: 77.1%
- Top Players: Mark Sears (21.5 pts), Aaron Estrada (13.4 pts), Grant Nelson (5.6 rebs)
- Final Four appearances: 7x (most recent: 2023)
- Points per Game: 81.4
- Opponent Points per Game: 63.3
- Rebounds per Game: 39.0
- Assists per Game: 18.7
- Turnovers per Game: 9.8
- Field Goal pct: 49.8%
- Three-Point pct: 35.8%
- Free Throw pct: 74.1%
- Top Players: Tristen Newton (15.0 pts), Cam Spencer (14.4 pts), Donovan Clingan (7.5 reb)
Alabama vs. UConn Game Predictions
Alabama proved a lot of people wrong by getting this far in the tournament, but the Crimson Tide’s golden run is about to come to an end, as Bama now faces the best team in the country. The UConn Huskies will qualify for their second straight March Madness championship, so take the Huskies moneyline on Saturday. UConn has made mincemeat of March Madness, winning games by an average margin of +27.25 points. The Huskies are well coached, experienced, and have an unmatched mentality for winning big games.
Alabama’s offense carried them through the first four rounds of the tournament, but the Tide barely got past North Carolina (89-87), and narrowly avoided an upset against Clemson (89-82). UConn is the best team Alabama has faced this season, and I’d argue if the Crimson Tide can keep it within 10-points, that’ll be a win for Alabama. UConn has torn the opponents apart, trailing by a grand total of 28 seconds, while leading by double-digits for more than 76 second-half minutes in the NCAA tournament. The Huskies scored 30 unanswered points in their Elite Eight win over Illinois, an immaculate run that perfectly exemplifies UConn’s dominance. Alabama would need to play a perfect game to beat UConn, and even that might not be enough.
In summary, here are my picks for Alabama vs. UConn in the Final Four:
- Moneyline Pick: UConn Huskies (-700)
If you take UConn’s Moneyline (-700): You risk $700 to win $100, for a total payout of $800, if UConn wins straight up.
- ATS Pick: UConn Huskies (-11.5)
If you take UConn to Cover the -11.5 Spread (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if UConn wins the game by at least 12 points.
- O/U Pick: Under (160.5)
If you take the Under on 160.5 total points (-110): You risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if Alabama and UConn combine for less than 161 points.
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