New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons: Free Week 7 Pick
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Monday Night Football heads to Mercedes-Benz Stadium for a NFC matchup between the New York Giants and the Atlanta Falcons in a slated 8:15 p.m. kickoff on ESPN.
The Giants fell to 1-5 straight-up with a 34-13 loss to NFC East rival Philadelphia in Week 6 as slight 1.5-point home underdogs with BetAnySports. The total went OVER the 45.5-point closing line and it has gone OVER in three of their last four games. New York is 2-4 against the spread with a 2-1 record ATS in three previous road games. It has closed as an underdog in each of its first six games.
The heat has been dialed up on veteran quarterback Eli Manning following a rough outing against the Eagles, but the problems with the Giants run much deeper than that. Manning has been under constant siege behind a very porous offensive line and New York’s defense is ranked 24th in the NFL in points allowed (27.0). The one bright spot has been the stellar play of rookie running back Saquon Barkley with 438 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 84 carries.
Atlanta started its season with a tight 18-12 loss to Philadelphia on the road in a game that closed as a PICK with BetAnySports. The Falcons went on to lose three of their next five outings in a 2-4 start both SU and ATS. The total went OVER in last Sunday’s 34-29 victory against Tampa Bay as three-point home favorites and it has now gone OVER in their last five games.
Behind another veteran quarterback Matt Ryan, Atlanta’s offense has done a good job of moving the ball down the field through the air with an average of 311.3 passing yards per game. Their running game has struggled with 86.0 rushing yards a game, which is ranked 29th in the league. Overall, the Falcons are ninth in the NFL in scoring with 27.8 points per game, but the defense has made it hard to keep pace with a points-allowed average of 32.0.
The early line at BetAnySports was 5.5 points, but it has been bet down to four to take most of the value out of going with the underdog. I still think that New York will score enough points to keep things interesting in a game that goes OVER the 54-point total line.